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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    NFL 1/26: Another epic Bills-Chiefs showdown

    Griswold1
    D-Town
    kcblitzkrieg
    FRESH1014
    Riderx
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    Griswold1
    Griswold1
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 1:19 PM ET #1

    NFL YTD 15-9 +5.6 units

    2* 3-2 +1.5 units

    1* 12-7 +4.1 units

     

    I pushed last week on the Eagles who had a lot more trouble with the Rams than I suspected.  I like the Eagles to win this weekend but 6 is just too many points.  That leaves the AFC game where the Chiefs are chasing history trying to join Green Bay as the only NFL franchise to win three consecutive championships.

     

    1* Bills +1 1/2

    KC is sitting on a loss.  They were very fortunate to beat a so-so Texans team last week.  In fact, both teams were outgained and outplayed last week and the Ravens might be in the title game were it not for Andrews' butterfingers.  I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  Maybe Taylor Swift's magic has worn off now that Trump is in the White House.

    (The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.)  Value on the dog.

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    NFL YTD 15-9 +5.6 units

    2* 3-2 +1.5 units

    1* 12-7 +4.1 units

     

    I pushed last week on the Eagles who had a lot more trouble with the Rams than I suspected.  I like the Eagles to win this weekend but 6 is just too many points.  That leaves the AFC game where the Chiefs are chasing history trying to join Green Bay as the only NFL franchise to win three consecutive championships.

     

    1* Bills +1 1/2

    KC is sitting on a loss.  They were very fortunate to beat a so-so Texans team last week.  In fact, both teams were outgained and outplayed last week and the Ravens might be in the title game were it not for Andrews' butterfingers.  I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  Maybe Taylor Swift's magic has worn off now that Trump is in the White House.

    (The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.)  Value on the dog.

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 1:20 PM ET #2

    Good luck Griswold.  an_cheers

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    Good luck Griswold.  an_cheers

     
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:07 PM ET #3

    @Griswold1

      I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.

     

    I don't fault any Bills backers here.  The only thing I would say is every single thing stated above was the exact same thing you could say about KC last year....and we saw what happened there.  

    As far as the one score games go, the 2003/04 Patriots at one time held that record for most consecutive wins in one score games.  A Tom Brady led team with a Championship defense is a much better comparison than the 2022 Kirk Cousins led Vikings.  The defending Champion Patriots went on to win the SB.  

    You will not survive here. You are not a wolf, and this is the land of wolves now...
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    @Griswold1

      I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.

     

    I don't fault any Bills backers here.  The only thing I would say is every single thing stated above was the exact same thing you could say about KC last year....and we saw what happened there.  

    As far as the one score games go, the 2003/04 Patriots at one time held that record for most consecutive wins in one score games.  A Tom Brady led team with a Championship defense is a much better comparison than the 2022 Kirk Cousins led Vikings.  The defending Champion Patriots went on to win the SB.  

     
    Griswold1
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:13 PM ET #4

    I am adding one other point to my analysis.

     

    Kansas City has actually been OUTGAINED ON THE SEASON!  That's unheard of for a team in conference final.  The only other team in the 14 team playoff field outgained on the season was Minnesota.  We saw what happened to them.

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    I am adding one other point to my analysis.

     

    Kansas City has actually been OUTGAINED ON THE SEASON!  That's unheard of for a team in conference final.  The only other team in the 14 team playoff field outgained on the season was Minnesota.  We saw what happened to them.

     
    FRESH1014
    FRESH1014
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:16 PM ET #5

    @Griswold1

     Stick To Baseball Bruh 

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    @Griswold1

     Stick To Baseball Bruh 

     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:32 PM ET #6

    Vegas has already told us which team is going to win s/u based on a combination of line adjustment, total adjustment & previous game.

    it's the Bills

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    Vegas has already told us which team is going to win s/u based on a combination of line adjustment, total adjustment & previous game.

    it's the Bills

     
    JFelty
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:35 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by FRESH1014:

    @Griswold1  Stick To Baseball Bruh

    Bills will win don't overthink it

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by FRESH1014:

    @Griswold1  Stick To Baseball Bruh

    Bills will win don't overthink it

    peace_5

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 2:42 PM ET #8

    Going to be good. GL peaceclovernew_devil

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    Going to be good. GL peaceclovernew_devil

     
    Griswold1
    Griswold1
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 3:05 PM ET #9

    @FRESH1014

     If you check my NFL record above, it's not too bad

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    @FRESH1014

     If you check my NFL record above, it's not too bad

     
    Cooler999
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 3:07 PM ET #10

                                                                                                    REF'S

     

     I think the NFL has made it clear who they want for AFC representative. I never saw so many bad calls in one game for one team, in my life last week.

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                                                                                                    REF'S

     

     I think the NFL has made it clear who they want for AFC representative. I never saw so many bad calls in one game for one team, in my life last week.

     
    Indydog
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 3:26 PM ET #11

    I've made the same post several times... but I've made a lot of $$ on KC in the playoffs the last 3 yrs, including tease last weekend.  I just think this weekend the refs swallow the flag and Buff gets the W.  We'll see.  Best of luck to everyone.  Can't argue against against a KC wager, it's just a gut feeling.

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    I've made the same post several times... but I've made a lot of $$ on KC in the playoffs the last 3 yrs, including tease last weekend.  I just think this weekend the refs swallow the flag and Buff gets the W.  We'll see.  Best of luck to everyone.  Can't argue against against a KC wager, it's just a gut feeling.

     
    FillyFlier16
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 4:14 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Griswold1:

    NFL YTD 15-9 +5.6 units 2* 3-2 +1.5 units 1* 12-7 +4.1 units   I pushed last week on the Eagles who had a lot more trouble with the Rams than I suspected.  I like the Eagles to win this weekend but 6 is just too many points.  That leaves the AFC game where the Chiefs are chasing history trying to join Green Bay as the only NFL franchise to win three consecutive championships.   1* Bills +1 1/2 KC is sitting on a loss.  They were very fortunate to beat a so-so Texans team last week.  In fact, both teams were outgained and outplayed last week and the Ravens might be in the title game were it not for Andrews' butterfingers.  I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  Maybe Taylor Swift's magic has worn off now that Trump is in the White House. (The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.)  Value on the dog.

    You can also say that Buffalo was somewhat fortunate to beat Baltimore last Sunday. Had the game going into OT, the Ravens more than likely escape with the win, though a lot would have depended on the winner of the coin toss. In the end, whether your fortunate or not, a win is a win and the Chiefs have been fortunate a lot this season in obtaining victories.

    The bottom line is that they're two fortunate wins away from their NFL history-making goal.

    I've been saying for a few weeks, the stars are aligned for Kansas City to three-peat. cool

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    Quote Originally Posted by Griswold1:

    NFL YTD 15-9 +5.6 units 2* 3-2 +1.5 units 1* 12-7 +4.1 units   I pushed last week on the Eagles who had a lot more trouble with the Rams than I suspected.  I like the Eagles to win this weekend but 6 is just too many points.  That leaves the AFC game where the Chiefs are chasing history trying to join Green Bay as the only NFL franchise to win three consecutive championships.   1* Bills +1 1/2 KC is sitting on a loss.  They were very fortunate to beat a so-so Texans team last week.  In fact, both teams were outgained and outplayed last week and the Ravens might be in the title game were it not for Andrews' butterfingers.  I normally prefer the best defense in the post-season and that's KC but the offense is just anemic and is non-existent beyond Mahomes and Kelce.  Buffalo and Josh Allen are far superior offensively and the Bills narrow win over an outstanding Ravens team looks better than KC's win over Houston.  Maybe Taylor Swift's magic has worn off now that Trump is in the White House. (The problem with my pick is that when you look at the big three factors in-post season, KC wins.  They have the coaching edge, the better defense and the QBs are a wash.  But the counter to that is the Chiefs have been winning rather unimpressively all year and as Minnesota demonstrated earlier, that eventually catches up to you.)  Value on the dog.

    You can also say that Buffalo was somewhat fortunate to beat Baltimore last Sunday. Had the game going into OT, the Ravens more than likely escape with the win, though a lot would have depended on the winner of the coin toss. In the end, whether your fortunate or not, a win is a win and the Chiefs have been fortunate a lot this season in obtaining victories.

    The bottom line is that they're two fortunate wins away from their NFL history-making goal.

    I've been saying for a few weeks, the stars are aligned for Kansas City to three-peat. cool

     
     
    User854910
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2025 - 4:21 PM ET #13

    Post Deleted
    Don't let the book set the number
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