I improved to 19-11 on the season with an easy win last week on the Ravens, who I feel are somehow underrated. I know that sounds odd but this has been the most dominant team in the NFL and one of the few without a slump. There's still value here, so:
1* Ravens -3 (-120)
I give props to KC's defense which is very good this year and has covered for a Chiefs offense that is not as dominant as in years past. But Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' run game is a unique threat that no team has really answered all year. But my key is the Ravens are just destroying teams right now. Take out the meaningless final game of the regular season and Baltimore has, in order, beaten Jacksonville by 16, San Francisco by 14, Miami by 37 (!) and Houston by 24. They are flat out annihilating teams. They have held opponents under 20 five games in a row and several of those teams have a better offense than the Chiefs. KC is a borderline dynasty and this is its sixth straight appearance in the AFC title game but this seems to me one of the weaker Chiefs teams in that stretch. Somebody had to make the title this year other than Baltimore and KC sort of did it by default. If this line drops, I may come back and bet again to get it down to -2 1/2 by laying juice which is too expensive right now. I strongly advocate getting at least -3 (and not -3 1/2).
Could we have a year in which both the college and pro football championships were won by Harbaughs?
I improved to 19-11 on the season with an easy win last week on the Ravens, who I feel are somehow underrated. I know that sounds odd but this has been the most dominant team in the NFL and one of the few without a slump. There's still value here, so:
1* Ravens -3 (-120)
I give props to KC's defense which is very good this year and has covered for a Chiefs offense that is not as dominant as in years past. But Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' run game is a unique threat that no team has really answered all year. But my key is the Ravens are just destroying teams right now. Take out the meaningless final game of the regular season and Baltimore has, in order, beaten Jacksonville by 16, San Francisco by 14, Miami by 37 (!) and Houston by 24. They are flat out annihilating teams. They have held opponents under 20 five games in a row and several of those teams have a better offense than the Chiefs. KC is a borderline dynasty and this is its sixth straight appearance in the AFC title game but this seems to me one of the weaker Chiefs teams in that stretch. Somebody had to make the title this year other than Baltimore and KC sort of did it by default. If this line drops, I may come back and bet again to get it down to -2 1/2 by laying juice which is too expensive right now. I strongly advocate getting at least -3 (and not -3 1/2).
Could we have a year in which both the college and pro football championships were won by Harbaughs?
The Ravens line and running game look scary, Lamar opens everything up with him as a running threat too......plus he can throw the ball , Their defense just wore down the Texans in the 2nd half......I am definitely leaning Ravens Sunday......
The Ravens line and running game look scary, Lamar opens everything up with him as a running threat too......plus he can throw the ball , Their defense just wore down the Texans in the 2nd half......I am definitely leaning Ravens Sunday......
This line keeps climbing and if it goes much higher I may make it a full play. The Lions have been on an epic ATS run for three years and are 13-6 against the spread again this year. It often takes bettors awhile to catch up to improving teams but people still don't want to bet the Lions. Over the past few weeks, these teams have been dead even in on-field performance. SF looked blah at best in beating GB and might have lost were it not for two dropped interceptions and a missed field goal. I'm reluctant to make this a full play because SF is superior on defense and there's a gap in coaching here as Campbell is reckless and that's scary in a game this big. But there's value here over a touchdown.
This line keeps climbing and if it goes much higher I may make it a full play. The Lions have been on an epic ATS run for three years and are 13-6 against the spread again this year. It often takes bettors awhile to catch up to improving teams but people still don't want to bet the Lions. Over the past few weeks, these teams have been dead even in on-field performance. SF looked blah at best in beating GB and might have lost were it not for two dropped interceptions and a missed field goal. I'm reluctant to make this a full play because SF is superior on defense and there's a gap in coaching here as Campbell is reckless and that's scary in a game this big. But there's value here over a touchdown.
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