NFL Betting Model Hitting 77% ATS Winners Over The Last 30 Years

Hi all,

I've decided to share a bunch of my Models that I've successfully used over the years, hope you enjoy!

Model #1 of many more to come...

NFL Betting Model Hitting 77% Winners Over The Last 30 Years('91-'21)

PLAY ON a WINLESS NFL TEAM Coming Off Their BYE WEEK Who's 0-5 or Worse.

 They Are Winning 77% ATS Since 1991.        

  W-L-P 
 17-5-1 ATS 

 The main idea behind this model was to find a situation where a team was perceived to be so bad that nobody would want to bet on them. A situation where oddsmakers would have to post a line that would create so much value on one side. A side that still will not attract the majority of dollars on the team with the historically higher probability of covering the spread (covering 77% last 30 years). The reason why the winless (0-5 off a bye) team is the correct side is based on the dynamics of how the line is created. As many of you know the goal of the oddsmaker is to create a line in the hopes of achieving equal betting dollars on both sides. Oddsmakers will have to sweeten the pot so much in the favor of the winless team, coupled with the fact that they get an extra week to prepare (off BYE week) and the motivation to get their first win, these teams are ripe for the ATS cover. This model is one of the more basic ones i'll be posting. My models are usually more advanced and are not strictly situational, like this one is.  I think this one is very straightforward to understand, it's a demand imbalance on one team over another that creates these historically profitable opportunities.

Talk soon...

How much $ will you be charging for these analytics?

If you have to ask, you can't afford it.

Well we don't have to think about this model until we see if a team goes 0-5.

@bay101

Your post smells like tuna juice,,,take a bath 

@packersbackers

 it was sarcasm

@bay101 

Sorry fam, I'm just sleep deprived lately and snapped unabated at you,,,i take it back,,, a Kenny's Roasters Chicken opened up across the street and I've been staying up until 4am every night with my pet rock running countless SIMS on Double Dribble for the upcoming NBA season. 

Sweep your Slate 

#staysafe

@packersbackers

 It's all good. I didn't take it personally. The only reason I commented was I thought you were being disingenuous by asking how much his "analytics" would cost. You know, another guy on here selling something and I thought that was the reason you commented. Any way no ill will.

mmm tuna and I don't take baths (showers only).

@bay101

@packersbackers

 I think it's time you recieve another Booster shot, you should feel better after that.

The best betting system that worked for me is fading the public in the first 4 weeks of the NFL season because everyone is blind folded without knowing which teams are good or bad until around Week 4 and Week 5.

You don't need to pay for services. Fading the public is free money. 

@PepeFrog

 What site are using to determine what the public bet is?

How much of a percentage does it have to be?  More than 60%? More than 70%?

@bay101

 if they were any good he wouldnt have to flog em...hed keep schtume...

but leys see how he gets on...every dog day afternoon even a clown can win...

I will be watching this system closely.  

Houston is the only winless team remaining. They have week 6 bye, if they lose this week then pound on the Raiders week 7.

Oh dear.

Trademark violation.

LOL

@Joe_Cool

 He said play on that team not against. So if Houston is still winless after their bye. U pound them week 7

Since there is no 0-5 team coming off their bye week, what is the play?

My bad, didn't read it right. Thanks guys...