Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay
Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games overall
Under is 6-1 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC South
Saints vs. Bucs Prediction:
The Saints are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games versus the Bucs and are a perfect 4-0 against the number in their last four games at Raymond James Stadium. The underdog, meanwhile, has covered in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, while the road team has cashed in four of the previous five meetings as well. Finally, the Bucs are just 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall and are 1-5-1 at the betting window in their last seven home games. N.Or +3.5 /A.Rome
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Saints vs. Bucs Betting Trends
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay
Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games overall
Under is 6-1 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC South
Saints vs. Bucs Prediction:
The Saints are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games versus the Bucs and are a perfect 4-0 against the number in their last four games at Raymond James Stadium. The underdog, meanwhile, has covered in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, while the road team has cashed in four of the previous five meetings as well. Finally, the Bucs are just 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall and are 1-5-1 at the betting window in their last seven home games. N.Or +3.5 /A.Rome
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Saints vs. Bucs Prediction:
The under hit in four of the previous five meetings between these two teams and is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings at Raymond James Stadium. The under is also 4-1 in the Saints’ last five games overall, is 10-4 in their last 14 divisional matchups and is 11-3 in their last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. On the other side, the under is 6-1 in the Bucs’ last seven games overall, is 6-1 in their last seven divisional games and is 15-3 in their last 18 conference matchups. UN 40.5 /A.Rome
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Saints vs. Bucs Betting Trends
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Saints vs. Bucs Prediction:
The under hit in four of the previous five meetings between these two teams and is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings at Raymond James Stadium. The under is also 4-1 in the Saints’ last five games overall, is 10-4 in their last 14 divisional matchups and is 11-3 in their last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. On the other side, the under is 6-1 in the Bucs’ last seven games overall, is 6-1 in their last seven divisional games and is 15-3 in their last 18 conference matchups. UN 40.5 /A.Rome
also having a miserable campaign in Dennis Allen’s first season at the helm, as New Orleans is currently tied with Carolina at the bottom of the NFC South standings with a record of 4-8 on the season, which has arguably become the worst division in football with no teams currently owning a record north of .500.
It’s tough to pinpoint the root of the Saints’ struggles. For a while, the issue appeared to be their defense, as New Orleans surrendered 26+ PTS in five-of-seven contests this season out of the gate, which never really gave their offense a chance to iron out kinks early in the year.
However, there’s no excuses for Andy Dalton and co. anymore, as the Saints’ defense enters Monday having surrendered 20 PTS or less in four of their last five games (16 PPG), and they still dropped three of those contests due to their offense generating just 14.8 PPG across their latest stretch.
Monday night’s affair is going to be an ugly one, no doubt. The under certainly is intriguing, but OU 40 is too low for my liking.
So, I’ll back the Bucs here, as the Saints have now scored 13 PTS or less in three of their last four games, which doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup against one of the best defenses in the league. And I expect Brady and co. to find a decent amount of success after putting up 20 PTS in a double-digit victory over New Orleans back in Week 2. By M.Crosson
also having a miserable campaign in Dennis Allen’s first season at the helm, as New Orleans is currently tied with Carolina at the bottom of the NFC South standings with a record of 4-8 on the season, which has arguably become the worst division in football with no teams currently owning a record north of .500.
It’s tough to pinpoint the root of the Saints’ struggles. For a while, the issue appeared to be their defense, as New Orleans surrendered 26+ PTS in five-of-seven contests this season out of the gate, which never really gave their offense a chance to iron out kinks early in the year.
However, there’s no excuses for Andy Dalton and co. anymore, as the Saints’ defense enters Monday having surrendered 20 PTS or less in four of their last five games (16 PPG), and they still dropped three of those contests due to their offense generating just 14.8 PPG across their latest stretch.
Monday night’s affair is going to be an ugly one, no doubt. The under certainly is intriguing, but OU 40 is too low for my liking.
So, I’ll back the Bucs here, as the Saints have now scored 13 PTS or less in three of their last four games, which doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup against one of the best defenses in the league. And I expect Brady and co. to find a decent amount of success after putting up 20 PTS in a double-digit victory over New Orleans back in Week 2. By M.Crosson
The Saints are also having a disappointing campaign in Dennis Allen’s first season at the helm, as New Orleans is currently tied with Carolina at the bottom of the NFC South standings with a record of 4-8 on the season, which has arguably become the worst division in football with no teams currently owning a record north of .500.
It’s tough to pinpoint the root of the Saints’ struggles. For a while, the issue appeared to be their defense, as New Orleans surrendered 26+ PTS in five-of-seven contests out of the gate, which never really gave their offense a chance to iron out kinks early in the season.
However, there’s no excuses for them anymore, as the Saints’ defense enters Monday having surrendered 20 PTS or less in four of their last five contests (16 PPG), and they still lost three of those contests due to their offense generating just 14.8 PPG across their latest five-game stretch. By M.Crosson
So, I’ll back New Orleans to have another poor night offensively against a Bucs defense that’s held its opponent to 21 PTS or less in 8-of-11 contests this season (18.5 PPG), and they also held the Saints to 10 PTS in their first meeting of the year back in Week 2.
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The Saints are also having a disappointing campaign in Dennis Allen’s first season at the helm, as New Orleans is currently tied with Carolina at the bottom of the NFC South standings with a record of 4-8 on the season, which has arguably become the worst division in football with no teams currently owning a record north of .500.
It’s tough to pinpoint the root of the Saints’ struggles. For a while, the issue appeared to be their defense, as New Orleans surrendered 26+ PTS in five-of-seven contests out of the gate, which never really gave their offense a chance to iron out kinks early in the season.
However, there’s no excuses for them anymore, as the Saints’ defense enters Monday having surrendered 20 PTS or less in four of their last five contests (16 PPG), and they still lost three of those contests due to their offense generating just 14.8 PPG across their latest five-game stretch. By M.Crosson
So, I’ll back New Orleans to have another poor night offensively against a Bucs defense that’s held its opponent to 21 PTS or less in 8-of-11 contests this season (18.5 PPG), and they also held the Saints to 10 PTS in their first meeting of the year back in Week 2.
The Buccaneers’ receiving core has battled injuries all season, and at one point, things got so bad that they had to bring Cole Beasley out of retirement for a couple games to stall for time until they could get some pass-catchers back on the field. So, Tampa’s redzone numbers inevitably took a hit early in the year, highlighted by Tom Brady throwing for less than two touchdowns in eight-of-nine matchups to open the season. By M.Crosson
However, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are back to full strength, and now, he’s finally starting to settle into a rhythm, or at least in the redzone, as Brady enters Monday having thrown 2+ touchdown passes in back-to-back games, despite the Bucs generating just 19 PPG across their latest two affairs. So, I’ll back Brady to throw for 2+ touchdown passes in a third straight contest on Monday night.
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The Buccaneers’ receiving core has battled injuries all season, and at one point, things got so bad that they had to bring Cole Beasley out of retirement for a couple games to stall for time until they could get some pass-catchers back on the field. So, Tampa’s redzone numbers inevitably took a hit early in the year, highlighted by Tom Brady throwing for less than two touchdowns in eight-of-nine matchups to open the season. By M.Crosson
However, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are back to full strength, and now, he’s finally starting to settle into a rhythm, or at least in the redzone, as Brady enters Monday having thrown 2+ touchdown passes in back-to-back games, despite the Bucs generating just 19 PPG across their latest two affairs. So, I’ll back Brady to throw for 2+ touchdown passes in a third straight contest on Monday night.
Monday night’s affair has the looks of an ugly one, no doubt about it. And I’m still tempted to take the under despite the total being stationed down around the OU 40 mark. But personally, I think the best value actually lies with Tampa to run away with this contest.
The Bucs have only posted two wins by 7+ PTS so far this season, however, one of those wins came against New Orleans back in Week 2, as Brady and co. posted a comfortable double-digit road victory over the Saints back in Week 2 thanks to their defense forcing five turnovers and allowing just 10 PTS in the contest. By M.Crosson
It hasn’t translated to loads of points quite yet, but Tampa’s offense has showed some brief signs of life in recent weeks, and their defense has continued its dominance. So, If the Bucs hold New Orleans to a low total on the defensive side of the ball like they did in their first matchup, winning by a touchdown should be a relatively attainable feat against a Saints defense that ranks 20 in the league in scoring at 23.3 PPG.
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Monday night’s affair has the looks of an ugly one, no doubt about it. And I’m still tempted to take the under despite the total being stationed down around the OU 40 mark. But personally, I think the best value actually lies with Tampa to run away with this contest.
The Bucs have only posted two wins by 7+ PTS so far this season, however, one of those wins came against New Orleans back in Week 2, as Brady and co. posted a comfortable double-digit road victory over the Saints back in Week 2 thanks to their defense forcing five turnovers and allowing just 10 PTS in the contest. By M.Crosson
It hasn’t translated to loads of points quite yet, but Tampa’s offense has showed some brief signs of life in recent weeks, and their defense has continued its dominance. So, If the Bucs hold New Orleans to a low total on the defensive side of the ball like they did in their first matchup, winning by a touchdown should be a relatively attainable feat against a Saints defense that ranks 20 in the league in scoring at 23.3 PPG.
Monday’s game Saints (4-8) @ Buccaneers (5-6) — Saints lost three of last four games, scoring 12.5 ppg. — NO is 0-3 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21. — Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 when they score less. — Saints have one takeaway last six games; their turnover ratio: minus-15. — Last 3 games, Saints have 5 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 16). — New Orleans is 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss. — Saints have been outscored 70-25 in last 2:00 of each half. — Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under the total. — Last four games, Saints are 14-45 on third down. — Saints are 10-4 ATS last 14 NFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Buccaneers lost six of their last nine games SU. — Buccaneers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games. — Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-5 giving up 20+. — Tampa Bay is 0-3-1 ATS this year as a home favorite. — Last seven games, Tampa was outscored 98-55 in second half. — Last three games, Bucs converted 23-51 (45.1%) on third down. — Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS this year coming off a loss. — Nine of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total. — Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in nine of last ten games. — Tampa Bay lost field position in seven of last nine games.
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Monday’s game Saints (4-8) @ Buccaneers (5-6) — Saints lost three of last four games, scoring 12.5 ppg. — NO is 0-3 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21. — Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 when they score less. — Saints have one takeaway last six games; their turnover ratio: minus-15. — Last 3 games, Saints have 5 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 16). — New Orleans is 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss. — Saints have been outscored 70-25 in last 2:00 of each half. — Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under the total. — Last four games, Saints are 14-45 on third down. — Saints are 10-4 ATS last 14 NFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Buccaneers lost six of their last nine games SU. — Buccaneers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games. — Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-5 giving up 20+. — Tampa Bay is 0-3-1 ATS this year as a home favorite. — Last seven games, Tampa was outscored 98-55 in second half. — Last three games, Bucs converted 23-51 (45.1%) on third down. — Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS this year coming off a loss. — Nine of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total. — Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in nine of last ten games. — Tampa Bay lost field position in seven of last nine games.
Buccaneers won 20-10 in the Superdome in Week 2. — New Orleans won eight of last 11 series games. — Saints covered their last four visits to Tampa Bay. — Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
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Buccaneers won 20-10 in the Superdome in Week 2. — New Orleans won eight of last 11 series games. — Saints covered their last four visits to Tampa Bay. — Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Saints injuries to wr’s and o line have severely decimated this team. The secondary and D ends too. That’s the reason. I’d see who comes back to play tonight before I started slobbering all over the Bucks. A bunch of those Saints turnovers were just unlucky stuff like balls doinking off receivers hands and fumbles by guys like Kamara and Ingram that don’t normally do that. It’s been a weird year. This is the Saints Super Bowl. Win tonight and still a chance to win division. Lose and it’s over this year…… I’m just waiting on that injury report.
my play is saints over 17 points.
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Saints injuries to wr’s and o line have severely decimated this team. The secondary and D ends too. That’s the reason. I’d see who comes back to play tonight before I started slobbering all over the Bucks. A bunch of those Saints turnovers were just unlucky stuff like balls doinking off receivers hands and fumbles by guys like Kamara and Ingram that don’t normally do that. It’s been a weird year. This is the Saints Super Bowl. Win tonight and still a chance to win division. Lose and it’s over this year…… I’m just waiting on that injury report.
The Saints have not covered the spread on the road this entire season (0-5), and they have not won a true road game since Week 1 at Atlanta.
During the month of November, the New Orleans offense ranked 27th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Andy Dalton has also been an extremely profitable quarterback to fade in primetime games over the course of his career, covering just 36% of the time in his 25 spotlight games.
To make matters worse, the Saints running game has been non-existent, with Alvin Kamara averaging just 3.2 yards per carry since Week 8.
Despite the loss of offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs, I am optimistic about the Bucs offense moving forward. Chris Godwin is playing at an elite level again, which truly unlocks the ability of Tom Brady to negate the opposing team’s pass rush by making quick decisions.
The Bucs defense ranks seventh in DVOA over its last three games and is now taking on a lifeless Saints offense that has scored 10 total points in its last two road games.
Need a reason to back Brady? He’s 35-16 (68.6%) in his career against the spread coming off a loss. By J.Lafranca
Saints bettors will be wondering why they chose to side with Dalton in primetime against the GOAT on Monday Night. Lay the points with the Bucs. I’d bet this up to Buccaneers -4.
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The Saints have not covered the spread on the road this entire season (0-5), and they have not won a true road game since Week 1 at Atlanta.
During the month of November, the New Orleans offense ranked 27th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Andy Dalton has also been an extremely profitable quarterback to fade in primetime games over the course of his career, covering just 36% of the time in his 25 spotlight games.
To make matters worse, the Saints running game has been non-existent, with Alvin Kamara averaging just 3.2 yards per carry since Week 8.
Despite the loss of offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs, I am optimistic about the Bucs offense moving forward. Chris Godwin is playing at an elite level again, which truly unlocks the ability of Tom Brady to negate the opposing team’s pass rush by making quick decisions.
The Bucs defense ranks seventh in DVOA over its last three games and is now taking on a lifeless Saints offense that has scored 10 total points in its last two road games.
Need a reason to back Brady? He’s 35-16 (68.6%) in his career against the spread coming off a loss. By J.Lafranca
Saints bettors will be wondering why they chose to side with Dalton in primetime against the GOAT on Monday Night. Lay the points with the Bucs. I’d bet this up to Buccaneers -4.
New Orleans and Tampa Bay both host lackluster offenses. The Saints’ quarterback issues have stalled their scoring, and Tom Brady has looked like a shell of himself this season. Both teams average less than two points per drive on offense and convert on third down less than 40% of the time.
While these offenses have struggled, both defenses have been great. These two NFC South teams are allowing less than 5.5 yards per play and less than seven yards per pass attempt. That’s news that both of these teams hate to hear, because neither of them have shown competencies in the run game offensively.
Both defenses are allowing less than two points per drive and less than a 40% conversion rate on third down. I did not copy and paste that from the first paragraph. Both offenses are that inept, and both defenses are that exceptional.
Another interesting tidbit that could matter with this primetime under: The Saints have the worst field goal percentage in the NFL at 73.9%.
This season, divisional under are 36-22 (62.1%), while primetime unders have hit at 53.8% this season. I am trusting these two defenses to keep it tight on the big stage in this divisional showdown. U N 41.5 / BY D.Wilkerson
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New Orleans and Tampa Bay both host lackluster offenses. The Saints’ quarterback issues have stalled their scoring, and Tom Brady has looked like a shell of himself this season. Both teams average less than two points per drive on offense and convert on third down less than 40% of the time.
While these offenses have struggled, both defenses have been great. These two NFC South teams are allowing less than 5.5 yards per play and less than seven yards per pass attempt. That’s news that both of these teams hate to hear, because neither of them have shown competencies in the run game offensively.
Both defenses are allowing less than two points per drive and less than a 40% conversion rate on third down. I did not copy and paste that from the first paragraph. Both offenses are that inept, and both defenses are that exceptional.
Another interesting tidbit that could matter with this primetime under: The Saints have the worst field goal percentage in the NFL at 73.9%.
This season, divisional under are 36-22 (62.1%), while primetime unders have hit at 53.8% this season. I am trusting these two defenses to keep it tight on the big stage in this divisional showdown. U N 41.5 / BY D.Wilkerson
You know it’s been a turbulent year for QB Tom Brady when his team owns a losing record and still sits atop its division. In fact, Sunday’s overtime loss to Cleveland was the fi rst time Brady lost a game that his team had led by 7 or more points with fewer than two minutes remaining in his star-studded career. Meanwhile, the Saints were shut out 13-0 by the Niners last week, their fi rst whitewashing since 2001 – the longest active skein in the NFL (332 games). With both teams struggling, we turn to the trend book for ammo as it tells us that the Saints are 7-1 ATS in the series, 5-1 ATS before a Bye week, 5-1 ATS division road dogs, and 11-2 ATS off an away loss of 13-plus points. The Bucs check in at 1-7 ATS as a favorite when favored the previous game, and 1-4 ATS as division home favorites of fewer than 7 points. Call this a trendy take. By Playbook
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TAMPA BAY over New Orleans by 3
You know it’s been a turbulent year for QB Tom Brady when his team owns a losing record and still sits atop its division. In fact, Sunday’s overtime loss to Cleveland was the fi rst time Brady lost a game that his team had led by 7 or more points with fewer than two minutes remaining in his star-studded career. Meanwhile, the Saints were shut out 13-0 by the Niners last week, their fi rst whitewashing since 2001 – the longest active skein in the NFL (332 games). With both teams struggling, we turn to the trend book for ammo as it tells us that the Saints are 7-1 ATS in the series, 5-1 ATS before a Bye week, 5-1 ATS division road dogs, and 11-2 ATS off an away loss of 13-plus points. The Bucs check in at 1-7 ATS as a favorite when favored the previous game, and 1-4 ATS as division home favorites of fewer than 7 points. Call this a trendy take. By Playbook
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