In a rare matchup between two offenses that are averaging more than six yards per play, we get the opportunity to catch points with the better defense at home.
Neither team here has defended the pass well this season, but the Ravens are especially vulnerable through the air. Baltimore is allowing more than eight yards per attempt, which entered Week 7 ranked 28th. That's great news for a Tampa Bay offense that relies on the quick-passing game to move the football.
The Buccaneers defense has been stronger against the run than it has been defending the pass, which should at least make life difficult for Baltimore on third down if it can limit gains on early downs. The Ravens have been gashing teams with explosive runs of 10 or more yards this season, but the Bucs have a good chance to limit the amount of rushes that get to the second level. Tampa Bay is 11th in adjusted line yards per rush against.
Lamar Jackson has some eye-popping trends in his favor against NFC teams, but Baker Mayfield also does when catching points. Mayfield is 10-4 against the spread as an underdog with the Bucs. He has also covered the number at a 57.1% rate over his entire career when his team is an underdog of more than three points. Over the last two seasons with Tampa Bay, he's 6-1 (85.7%) against the spread in that scenario.
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In a rare matchup between two offenses that are averaging more than six yards per play, we get the opportunity to catch points with the better defense at home.
Neither team here has defended the pass well this season, but the Ravens are especially vulnerable through the air. Baltimore is allowing more than eight yards per attempt, which entered Week 7 ranked 28th. That's great news for a Tampa Bay offense that relies on the quick-passing game to move the football.
The Buccaneers defense has been stronger against the run than it has been defending the pass, which should at least make life difficult for Baltimore on third down if it can limit gains on early downs. The Ravens have been gashing teams with explosive runs of 10 or more yards this season, but the Bucs have a good chance to limit the amount of rushes that get to the second level. Tampa Bay is 11th in adjusted line yards per rush against.
Lamar Jackson has some eye-popping trends in his favor against NFC teams, but Baker Mayfield also does when catching points. Mayfield is 10-4 against the spread as an underdog with the Bucs. He has also covered the number at a 57.1% rate over his entire career when his team is an underdog of more than three points. Over the last two seasons with Tampa Bay, he's 6-1 (85.7%) against the spread in that scenario.
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