GREEN BAY over New Orleans by 16
It all comes to an end for the Packers tonight. The end of Prime-
Time games this season, that is. It will be the last of four consecutive
scheduled prime-time games for Green Bay, the fi rst time the Packers
have played four straight prime-time games in a single season since
the merger. The Pack has averaged 30.0 points per game in prime-
time games in 2024. Green Bay has won fi ve straight home games on
MNF, the longest streak in team history (since 1970). And the Packers
play on Monday Night Football for the 32nd straight season (1993-
2024). It is the NFL’s longest appearance streak in the history of MNF.
The History Book reminds us that six of the last seven games between
these two teams at Lambeau Field have been decided by single
digits, including Green Bay’s 18-17 victory last season. In addition,
the Packers have scored 27-plus points in 11 home games against the
Saints. The 10-4 Cheeseheads are currently the NFC’s No. 6 seed in
the NFL Playoff Picture. You also need to know that New Orleans
has been 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games under the Monday Night
lights and 0-4 SUATS against the NFC North in the past two seasons.
Remember, the Packers’ sneaky-good defense has held four of its last
eight foes to season-low yards. You know what to do. BY Playbook
By John LanFranca
Since their Week 10 bye week, the Packers offense has been one of the most efficient in the NFL — it seems like they're hitting their stride late in the season once again.
The identity of the current version of the Packers is much more ground-based, but it has also allowed Jordan Love to lead the league in yards per attempt over his last five games since the bye. Love's passer rated has exceeded 100 in all five of those contests.
This approach for Green Bay matches up extremely well against a Saints defense that struggles to win the line of scrimmage.
New Orleans is 31st in adjusted line yards per rush, meaning it allows a push from opposing offensive lines that consistently creates running lanes. The Saints also rarely cause havoc in the backfield, stuffing runs at or behind the line of scrimmage at a 13% clip, the third-lowest mark in the league.
The offense hasn't been the only improvement for the Packers since their bye week. Their rush defense has ranked top five in both yards per carry against and success rate over that span.
Spencer Rattler will shoulder the entire responsibility for moving the chains against a surging Green Bay defense, and he'll have to do it without the services of Alvin Kamara.
Green Bay will dismantle the Saints on Monday night in Lambeau.
Monday’s game
Saints @ Packers (-14.5)
Saints (5-9)
New Orleans is 3-2 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Saints failed on 2-point try on last play of LW’s 20-19 loss.
New Orleans is 2-9 when it scores less than 35 points.
Saints are 0-8 when they give up 20+ points.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1 last five
Saints are 16-7-1 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Saints are 2-5 in one-score games this year.
#3 QB Rattler is 0-4 as a starter this year.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
NFC South road underdogs are 7-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS in outdoor games this year.
Packers (10-4)
Packers won eight of last ten games (4-0 ATS last four).
Green Bay has four wins by 16+ points.
Last four weeks, Green Bay scored 32.3 points/game.
This is Packers’ third night game in four weeks.
Team total: over 9-5
Opponents’ team total: under 10-3 last 13
GB is 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite (3-3 TY).
Packers are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 9-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Under is 5-2 in their home games.
Last four games, Green Bay is +5 in turnovers.
NFC North home favorites are 12-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Teams split their last ten meetings.
Saints are 1-3 SU/2-1-1 ATS last four visits to Lambeau
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
Established in 1995,
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