NFL picks and Why-Wk5

Tb didn't get it done for us last Thursday. Overal record 12-15.   Missed calls didn't help and I really wish Mayfield would have called Heads-seems it always is heads.    Anyone tracks it would love to know the outcomes of OT coin toss.   Anyways - had a pretty good day college let's see if we can keep it rollin.   Let's look at some numbers:

-2  Balt       1 16  1  29  5  9

     Cincy   23  6  26  11 13 31

The line opened at -2 currently around 2-2.5.  Balt.  Is better in Rushing off 1vs 23;   Rushing Def 1 vs 26; sagarin rank 5 vs 13 and sagarin sched strength  9 vs 31.

Cincy is better in Passing off 6 vs 16 rushing def 11 vs 29.     Simply looking at the numbers of where these teams stand - it appears Balt. should have at it.    I wish it was that simple, it often is not.   When I compare the opening line of -2 for the away team to this scenario - the data indicates the home team often takes it su.  My Plays:

1.   Cincy +2.5   

2. Carolina +4.5  

3.  Denver -3  

4. Wash -3

5. Giants +7

6.  Dallas +3  

Good Luck all

@TheBuddah

 Good luck sir.

GL on your plays @TheBuddah

@FelixFermin21

@Skydog1842

@Macwestie1

Thanks guys and back at ya  

@saigon

 Thanks bud and back at ya 

We went 4-2 yesterday-record stands at 16-17.   Cincy-damn!!   Glad Dallas did it.  Let's even the record tonite.  Let's look at some numbers:

          NO  7 19 7 25 20 25

-6.5   KC   15 11 8 23 1 11

Line opened at 6.5, currently around 5.  NO is better in two categories,   Off rushing at  7 vs 15;   Def rushing at 7 vs 8;  KC is better in the other 4 categories; Off passing 11 vs 19, def passing 23 vs 25; sagarin rank at 1 vs 20 and sagar sched strength at 11 vs 25.

Based on my numbers, I think NO may get exposed tonite.   My play:

7.  Kc - 5     

Good luck all

@TheBuddah

@TheBuddah

@insatiable

@FelixFermin21

 Thanks and back at guys.   

 Buddah 

Hello Buddah,

One of us will win

@Liturgy_of_Fade

 Thanks bud and back at ya.

@umgmu

 Either bol to ya bud.

@FelixFermin21

 Thanks  bud.    Positive weeks in college and pro - i'll take it.