NFL Regular Season Wins Pick

The Oakland Raiders are playing tough divisional games at home to the Broncos & Chiefs to start their season, and then play 5 straight on the road (Vikings, Colts, Bears, Packers, Texans; all playoff caliber teams including one international game in the UK).

They don't even get to take full advantage of the bye as they lose some time traveling from London the week before, travel all the way back to Oakland of course, before going back on the road to cold ass Green Bay.

I wouldn't be surprised if this team is 0-7/1-6ish and totally checked out by mid-season and looking ahead to next years draft hoping for Trevor Lawrence. It's been established that Gruden and Carr are not fond of each other.

The Raiders have another Thursday night game on short rest to a Chargers team with Super Bowl aspirations, an early away game traveling across the country at Jets, before another road game at Kansas City on a back to back. They close the season out at Chargers and at Denver in altitude.

That's fucking brutal.

The highlight of this team's season is gonna be their season on Hard Knocks which in my opinion is just another distraction.

This could get ugly quick.

I barely see 4 wins on this schedule. Giving a half game to get plus money.

Oakland Raiders u5.5 wins +125 1u

Aside from their impossible schedule, last years defense was 28th DVOA and dead last in pass rush and pass defense efficiency. What did they do in the offseason to address that? Should be improved, but average is their ceiling and they're playing against some top offenses this season.

Carr has potential and they picked up AB but their o-line coach, Tom Cable, has been terrible. Carr struggles under pressure and Cable has averaged 27th in the league during his 13 year tenure in the NFL (2nd in Oakland). Incognito might be a solid pick up, but also might not with all his baggage and controversy. 

Overall the roster might be better than last year but add the terrible situational spots and I don't see how anyone is buying Raiders this season. 

Best of luck if you tail.

IMO Season's too long, just pick your spots, like week 1 Denver getting points.

These are all potential wins for them, lets see how long AB is out:

(2018 record)

GNB 6-9

DET 6-10

CIN 6-10

NYJ 4-12

JAX 5-11

DEN 6-10 x2

Lol yeah there’s a lot of season to win just a normal bet, had an itch when that hall of fame game was on the other night 

Dolphins under five

The subpar Raiders and the questionable Broncos are two big reasons why I took the Chargers to win more than 9.5 games. With or without Gordon, their defense is incredible and well-coached. Not a big fan of Whisenhunt at OC, but Rivers and Co should get a lot done with a healthy Hunter Henry back this season.

Also a big fan of the Cardinals to win more than 5.5 games. They would have won six games last year with any kind of competent playcalling, so this year should be better. The first 11 games of their schedule has plenty of winnable games, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 6-5 or 5-6 start before going into a tough final five game schedule.

Added:

Bucs OVER 7.5 +158 1u

Bengals UNDER 5.5 +125 1u

Raiders UNDER 5.5 +115 1u

Added

GB over 9.5 +115

and parlayed GB/TB/OAK +1000

I’m done with season totals I’ve bet like maybe one of these a year, I like these picks though.

Good luck and see y’all before Week 1