SUNDAY
Detroit at Tampa Bay:
No line yet because the status of Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford is
up in the air. He’s likely to go. But, sportsbooks don’t want to post a
number on the assumption that he’s playing, only to find out that he’s a
scratch. Exposure to informed money would be huge given the Power
Ratings difference between Stafford and his backup,
Chicago at Cincinnati:
Cincinnati opened at -5.5. The Bengals have been bet up through the six
to -6.5 in some places. Chicago struggled badly in its last road game at
Philadelphia, and has been in a funk in recent weeks since defenses
figured out how easy it is to contain this simplified offense. Bears
money would come in at the key number of +7 I believe. Sharps are still
high on Mitchell Trubisky long term. They think he’s being held back by
his coach.
Indianapolis at Buffalo:
Tyrod Taylor hurt his knee late in the game vs. New England last week.
He’s currently “day-to-day,” which means nobody knows if he’ll play
Sunday. No line yet as a result. Sharps will definitely be fading Nathan
Peterman if the rookie is forced to start. Sharps remember that the
Colts won at Houston when Tom Savage first took over for Deshaun Watson
too. Not a lot of Wise Guys interested in Buffalo right now. That will
be clearer once this game is bettable.
Seattle at Jacksonville:
Jacksonville opened as high as -3.5 in some spots, which was surprising
given how little respect Blake Bortles gets as an NFL quarterback.
Sharps took out the hook right away. In fact, Seattle has been bet so
hard that we’re now seeing Seahawks +2.5 at many shops. It takes a lot
of money, or one-sided Sharp interest to push through the key number of
three and hold steady. Sharps love Seattle at +3 or better. No
indicators yet for interest on the Jags. Will be interesting to see how
the public bets this game Sunday. If we’re still on +2.5, Seattle will
be VERY
popular in six-point teaser bets at +8.5.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
SUNDAY
Detroit at Tampa Bay:
No line yet because the status of Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford is
up in the air. He’s likely to go. But, sportsbooks don’t want to post a
number on the assumption that he’s playing, only to find out that he’s a
scratch. Exposure to informed money would be huge given the Power
Ratings difference between Stafford and his backup,
Chicago at Cincinnati:
Cincinnati opened at -5.5. The Bengals have been bet up through the six
to -6.5 in some places. Chicago struggled badly in its last road game at
Philadelphia, and has been in a funk in recent weeks since defenses
figured out how easy it is to contain this simplified offense. Bears
money would come in at the key number of +7 I believe. Sharps are still
high on Mitchell Trubisky long term. They think he’s being held back by
his coach.
Indianapolis at Buffalo:
Tyrod Taylor hurt his knee late in the game vs. New England last week.
He’s currently “day-to-day,” which means nobody knows if he’ll play
Sunday. No line yet as a result. Sharps will definitely be fading Nathan
Peterman if the rookie is forced to start. Sharps remember that the
Colts won at Houston when Tom Savage first took over for Deshaun Watson
too. Not a lot of Wise Guys interested in Buffalo right now. That will
be clearer once this game is bettable.
Seattle at Jacksonville:
Jacksonville opened as high as -3.5 in some spots, which was surprising
given how little respect Blake Bortles gets as an NFL quarterback.
Sharps took out the hook right away. In fact, Seattle has been bet so
hard that we’re now seeing Seahawks +2.5 at many shops. It takes a lot
of money, or one-sided Sharp interest to push through the key number of
three and hold steady. Sharps love Seattle at +3 or better. No
indicators yet for interest on the Jags. Will be interesting to see how
the public bets this game Sunday. If we’re still on +2.5, Seattle will
be VERY
popular in six-point teaser bets at +8.5.
Oakland at Kansas City:
Not much interest in this one yet. Most stores opened at either Chiefs
-4 or -4.5. It’s been on the four ever since. The Chiefs are in free
fall. Oakland has a poor defense, and can’t be trusted to cover either.
Sharps don’t want either side at this price. The public may leave the
game alone too because there’s not an obvious team to take. Anybody
riding this favorite in recent weeks went broke.
Minnesota at Carolina:
Minnesota is getting a lot of Sharp interest since they beat the Rams
awhile back. Sharps hit the Vikings hard at Atlanta last week, and were
rewarded. Here, an opener of pick-em or Minnesota -1 has been bet up to
-2.5 or -3 depending on the store. Carolina interest does show up as a
home dog on the key number of +3. That looks like it will set up a
tug-of-war over the weekend, between Minnesota -2.5 and Carolina +3. The
total has been bet down from 42 to 40 in what's expected to be a
defensive battle.
Green Bay at Cleveland:
Cleveland money finally cashed last week against the Chargers, making it
easier to take a shot on the Browns this week. An opener of Green Bay
-4 has been bet down to the three. Sharps will take anything above the
three if the public drives that line any higher. Sharps are aware that
Cleveland can now safely “win” a game because they have a two-game lead
over the field in the race for the #1 draft pick. Both San Francisco and
the NY Giants have two victories. Cleveland is 0 for the season. Nobody
wants to finish a year 0-16.
San Francisco at Houston:
Sharps like Jimmy Garappolo a lot. They cashed with him last week at
Chicago, and like him at +3 here against the Texans. Houston money does
come in, though, at -2.5. Tom Savage is playing better with each passing
week, making it tough to assume the Niners can just show up and win
another road game. Probably a tug-of-war this weekend between Houston
-2.5 and SF +3 unless the public decides on Sunday they want Garappolo
as a dog. Sharps will push SF +2.5 up to +8.5 in six-point teasers. Some
Sharp interest on the Over, with the total being bet up from 43 to
45.5.
0
Oakland at Kansas City:
Not much interest in this one yet. Most stores opened at either Chiefs
-4 or -4.5. It’s been on the four ever since. The Chiefs are in free
fall. Oakland has a poor defense, and can’t be trusted to cover either.
Sharps don’t want either side at this price. The public may leave the
game alone too because there’s not an obvious team to take. Anybody
riding this favorite in recent weeks went broke.
Minnesota at Carolina:
Minnesota is getting a lot of Sharp interest since they beat the Rams
awhile back. Sharps hit the Vikings hard at Atlanta last week, and were
rewarded. Here, an opener of pick-em or Minnesota -1 has been bet up to
-2.5 or -3 depending on the store. Carolina interest does show up as a
home dog on the key number of +3. That looks like it will set up a
tug-of-war over the weekend, between Minnesota -2.5 and Carolina +3. The
total has been bet down from 42 to 40 in what's expected to be a
defensive battle.
Green Bay at Cleveland:
Cleveland money finally cashed last week against the Chargers, making it
easier to take a shot on the Browns this week. An opener of Green Bay
-4 has been bet down to the three. Sharps will take anything above the
three if the public drives that line any higher. Sharps are aware that
Cleveland can now safely “win” a game because they have a two-game lead
over the field in the race for the #1 draft pick. Both San Francisco and
the NY Giants have two victories. Cleveland is 0 for the season. Nobody
wants to finish a year 0-16.
San Francisco at Houston:
Sharps like Jimmy Garappolo a lot. They cashed with him last week at
Chicago, and like him at +3 here against the Texans. Houston money does
come in, though, at -2.5. Tom Savage is playing better with each passing
week, making it tough to assume the Niners can just show up and win
another road game. Probably a tug-of-war this weekend between Houston
-2.5 and SF +3 unless the public decides on Sunday they want Garappolo
as a dog. Sharps will push SF +2.5 up to +8.5 in six-point teasers. Some
Sharp interest on the Over, with the total being bet up from 43 to
45.5.
Washington at the LA Chargers:
We’ve been solid on the Chargers -6 all week. That tells you Sharps
don't like the Chargers here, or they would have have bet them just
below the key number, and are likely waiting to see if the public bets
the Chargers up to 7 before taking the dog Washington looked bad at
Dallas last Thursday but it's tough to trust Philip Rivers of LAC at
such a high line, so Sharps will gladly take whatever points are on
offer here.
NY Jets at Denver:
Hard to believe the Jets are a road favorite at Denver. So many local
pundits were saying the Jets wouldn’t win a game this season. This
opened at Denver -1 but was bet across the threshold to NYJ -1. A low
interest game outside of the cities involved. It might take +2 or better
for Denver money to show up given how badly that team has played the
past two months.
Tennessee at Arizona:
It’s been a solid Tennessee -3 all week. Any excursions off the key
number come right back, so we can assume that Sharps aren’t very
interested in this one, but will fade any public move in either
direction for value. There’s not a lot of buzz about the later kicks
right now. If the public does well early in the day, we may see more
interest (and tug-of-war potential) in the minutes before kickoff.
Philadelphia at the LA Rams:
Definitely the game everyone will be watching and betting Sunday
afternoon. The game opened at either Rams pick-em or -1 depending on the
store. We’re now seeing Rams -2 almost everywhere. Sharps fell out of
love with Philadelphia in the second half in Seattle last week. They
will still take the Eagles at home…but it’s harder to like them on the
road unless they show up and get a result here. The Rams just beat the
Saints on this field, and can make a real statement here against the
Eagles. Sharps who like the Rams are already in at pick-em, -1, or -1.5.
Were the public to drive the game all the way to three (which doesn’t
seem likely), then Eagles money would come in strong on the key number.
Note that Sharps will be on the Eagles around +8 in six-point teasers.
You’ll see a lot of Seattle/Philadelphia combos in teasers this week.
Big move on the total, which has been bet down by a field goal from an
opener of 51 to 48.
0
Washington at the LA Chargers:
We’ve been solid on the Chargers -6 all week. That tells you Sharps
don't like the Chargers here, or they would have have bet them just
below the key number, and are likely waiting to see if the public bets
the Chargers up to 7 before taking the dog Washington looked bad at
Dallas last Thursday but it's tough to trust Philip Rivers of LAC at
such a high line, so Sharps will gladly take whatever points are on
offer here.
NY Jets at Denver:
Hard to believe the Jets are a road favorite at Denver. So many local
pundits were saying the Jets wouldn’t win a game this season. This
opened at Denver -1 but was bet across the threshold to NYJ -1. A low
interest game outside of the cities involved. It might take +2 or better
for Denver money to show up given how badly that team has played the
past two months.
Tennessee at Arizona:
It’s been a solid Tennessee -3 all week. Any excursions off the key
number come right back, so we can assume that Sharps aren’t very
interested in this one, but will fade any public move in either
direction for value. There’s not a lot of buzz about the later kicks
right now. If the public does well early in the day, we may see more
interest (and tug-of-war potential) in the minutes before kickoff.
Philadelphia at the LA Rams:
Definitely the game everyone will be watching and betting Sunday
afternoon. The game opened at either Rams pick-em or -1 depending on the
store. We’re now seeing Rams -2 almost everywhere. Sharps fell out of
love with Philadelphia in the second half in Seattle last week. They
will still take the Eagles at home…but it’s harder to like them on the
road unless they show up and get a result here. The Rams just beat the
Saints on this field, and can make a real statement here against the
Eagles. Sharps who like the Rams are already in at pick-em, -1, or -1.5.
Were the public to drive the game all the way to three (which doesn’t
seem likely), then Eagles money would come in strong on the key number.
Note that Sharps will be on the Eagles around +8 in six-point teasers.
You’ll see a lot of Seattle/Philadelphia combos in teasers this week.
Big move on the total, which has been bet down by a field goal from an
opener of 51 to 48.
Dallas at the NY Giants:
This has been time-changed from a late start to an early kickoff. Also,
Eli Manning is back in the starting lineup after ownership fired the
head coach. That caused a line drop from the opener of Dallas -6 to
Dallas -4 or -4.5. The public might take the Cowboys on game day given
the extra rest off a Thursday nighter and the good showing vs.
Washington. Sharps will take the Giants at +4.5 or better.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh:
Pittsburgh opened at -6. Baltimore’s been bet down to +5 because they
have a great defense, because this is an intense rivalry, and because
Pittsburgh is coming off a very physical Monday Night rally against
Cincinnati. Sharps will take +6 strong if it becomes available after
public betting. Probably won’t. The public watched that bruising MNF
game and won’t be in the mood to lay such a big number on the favorite.
MONDAY NIGHT
New England at Miami:
An opener of Miami -12 has been bet down to Miami +11.5 or +11 depending
on the store. Not much early interest in an ugly game like this. New
England just won by 18 at home as a 17-point favorite over the Dolphins
two weeks ago. The number is where it should be. Will the public lay
double digits on a Monday Night road favorite? They might when the time
comes. No reason to do that early in the week. Sharps will take Miami at
+12 or higher, particularly old school Sharps who love double digit
dogs. Dwight007
0
Dallas at the NY Giants:
This has been time-changed from a late start to an early kickoff. Also,
Eli Manning is back in the starting lineup after ownership fired the
head coach. That caused a line drop from the opener of Dallas -6 to
Dallas -4 or -4.5. The public might take the Cowboys on game day given
the extra rest off a Thursday nighter and the good showing vs.
Washington. Sharps will take the Giants at +4.5 or better.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh:
Pittsburgh opened at -6. Baltimore’s been bet down to +5 because they
have a great defense, because this is an intense rivalry, and because
Pittsburgh is coming off a very physical Monday Night rally against
Cincinnati. Sharps will take +6 strong if it becomes available after
public betting. Probably won’t. The public watched that bruising MNF
game and won’t be in the mood to lay such a big number on the favorite.
MONDAY NIGHT
New England at Miami:
An opener of Miami -12 has been bet down to Miami +11.5 or +11 depending
on the store. Not much early interest in an ugly game like this. New
England just won by 18 at home as a 17-point favorite over the Dolphins
two weeks ago. The number is where it should be. Will the public lay
double digits on a Monday Night road favorite? They might when the time
comes. No reason to do that early in the week. Sharps will take Miami at
+12 or higher, particularly old school Sharps who love double digit
dogs. Dwight007
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.