In honor of Stu Ungar the legendary poker pro who apparently was awful at sports betting because he needed so much action it wouldn't be unusual for him to play every game on the board (even in college) I'm going to play a unit on every game. Hopefully I won't lose millions and turn into a crackhead like he did. Highly recommend his biography One Of a Kind, fascinating stuff.
Giants -6.5 to start the smorgasbord in London. Whenever a bad team wins a game I like to fade them the next game. It's a very basic but profitable strategy in the NFL and the Gmen did show a bit of a pulse last week. They have a good pass rush and there was a rumor of Bryce Young getting traded to NY maybe Danny Dimes will have a point to prove.
Colts +4
I don't really like the Colts as a team, faded them last week. Their defense is crap and the offense is inconsistent but I just like this schedule spot Buffalo just played Miami and has KC on deck. Line looks pretty trappy.
Saints +3.5
Another team I am not high on this season but the old 'coach just got fired' angle is another tried and true beauty. It works often enough that you just have to go with it and live with the times it doesn't (Jets failed in this spot this year). Hate to fade Kirko Chains in the form he has been in this year but fingers crossed a division rival is just what the dr ordered for a Saints team that needs something to feel good about.
Chiefs -7.5
While it won't be a game of the month type play as I had on Baltimore last week, I have similar feelings as regards stadiums ie Arrowhead is not a place rookies go into and have much success and Bo Nix now hitting a much harder part of the schedule than what he faced earlier when he was having pretty good success. Let's see how he does vs KCs defense. Seems like the Chiefs never get to play a Sunday 1pm game. This game isn't gonna be their first loss, not to a rookie at home on a team they kind of own.
49ers -6.5
Bucs season went down the tubes with those WR injuries and now it's a short week off an OT loss that would have given them a huge lift - but now they're deflated and facing a team with more rest who can't take anything for granted with their record they need wins to stay competitive in their division where everyone is around .500
Steelers +2.5
Bad schedule spot for the Commanders who had the Giants last week and have Philly on Thursday night. The Steelers seem like the type of team that could give them trouble with their physicality, and Washington leading rusher Brian Robinson is hurt. I always fade teams that play an out of conference sunday game before a TNF division game, it's worked pretty well and i definitely recommend checking who is playing on TNF to at least avoid playing on any teams in that spot if not betting against them. Hate to go against such a hot team all the same.
Vikings -6.5
Jags are a team firmly on the fade list and while Philly messed up the cover last week I think the Vikings have gotten back on track and will beat them handily enough. The Jags schedule after London is just really tough for a team struggling so bad, and I intend to fade them every week til Dougie gets fired which he will eventually this year.
Hot Forum Topics
