I actually have 2 live parlays at -6.5 from college but I'm piling on this play anyway because I like this spot for the Ravens having the extra few days and likely in no mood for mercy after another loss to the Chiefs due to red zone miscues. The Raiders are simply not a contender on the level of Baltimore or KC as shown by losing to a very limited somewhat rebuilding constantly underachieving Chargers team. They don't have a good QB situation and only really have one star on each side of the ball now Jacobs is gone. I'm not a Lamar Jackson fan, think he wins 0 SBs in his career but this is the type of opponent he thrives against, not ones with grit and a winning pedigree. West coast going east never been a good spot also.
Rest of the plays all one unit btw except this one
Lions -7.5 2 units
Kinda rough schedule making for Detroit with 2 opponents in a row to start the season that have playoff revenge, a spot i usually like to play on, but I think if they were gonna lose one of these it would be last time to Stafford but they somehow pulled it out thanks to red zone miscues. They also beat TB in the regular season so i think now they just own them tho they didn't cover the spread in the playoff game I think they will today. TB didn't exactly cover themselves in glory scraping by a Washington team with a way less polished QB and while Detroit's pass d isnt good still, they do have more impact players like Hutch and i think a better overall D than the Skins, and TB still can't run the ball. Detroit has a good run game and also ST Brown was quiet last game, unlikely to happen again this week.
Panthers +6
Someone posted teams that lose by 30+ have an excellent spread record the next week. I always fade the NFC South teams when they play someone good but this isn't that situation. Harbaugh is a fraud and a cheat and a west to east coast trip is never ideal. Neither is betting the Panthers but i need to sprinkle in some dogs to this fav heavy card.
Seahawks -3
My thoughts on this one are in vanzacks thread i don't feel like retyping it.
Cowboys -6
Big step up in opponents for a statue QB facing a good pass rush and Dak and Co look very efficient i guess a massive contract doesn't mess up every player i think also they are on a mission after last years playoff debacle. Again, fade the NFC South playing anyone with a pulse is good strategy last while
Jags Moneyline
If Cleveland has fixed that putrid offense than I'll take the loss they looked really bad and Watson has very bad karma
That's the early card, more games than i usually play but i am sticking to it.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Ravens -8.5 4 units
I actually have 2 live parlays at -6.5 from college but I'm piling on this play anyway because I like this spot for the Ravens having the extra few days and likely in no mood for mercy after another loss to the Chiefs due to red zone miscues. The Raiders are simply not a contender on the level of Baltimore or KC as shown by losing to a very limited somewhat rebuilding constantly underachieving Chargers team. They don't have a good QB situation and only really have one star on each side of the ball now Jacobs is gone. I'm not a Lamar Jackson fan, think he wins 0 SBs in his career but this is the type of opponent he thrives against, not ones with grit and a winning pedigree. West coast going east never been a good spot also.
Rest of the plays all one unit btw except this one
Lions -7.5 2 units
Kinda rough schedule making for Detroit with 2 opponents in a row to start the season that have playoff revenge, a spot i usually like to play on, but I think if they were gonna lose one of these it would be last time to Stafford but they somehow pulled it out thanks to red zone miscues. They also beat TB in the regular season so i think now they just own them tho they didn't cover the spread in the playoff game I think they will today. TB didn't exactly cover themselves in glory scraping by a Washington team with a way less polished QB and while Detroit's pass d isnt good still, they do have more impact players like Hutch and i think a better overall D than the Skins, and TB still can't run the ball. Detroit has a good run game and also ST Brown was quiet last game, unlikely to happen again this week.
Panthers +6
Someone posted teams that lose by 30+ have an excellent spread record the next week. I always fade the NFC South teams when they play someone good but this isn't that situation. Harbaugh is a fraud and a cheat and a west to east coast trip is never ideal. Neither is betting the Panthers but i need to sprinkle in some dogs to this fav heavy card.
Seahawks -3
My thoughts on this one are in vanzacks thread i don't feel like retyping it.
Cowboys -6
Big step up in opponents for a statue QB facing a good pass rush and Dak and Co look very efficient i guess a massive contract doesn't mess up every player i think also they are on a mission after last years playoff debacle. Again, fade the NFC South playing anyone with a pulse is good strategy last while
Jags Moneyline
If Cleveland has fixed that putrid offense than I'll take the loss they looked really bad and Watson has very bad karma
That's the early card, more games than i usually play but i am sticking to it.
Must be out of my mind adding another game AND another favorite but this is a step down from the 9ers who ran all over them, something I think a Henry-less Titans team is unlikely to do even tho they did run great vs Chicago 1st half, the fact they couldn't beat a team who didn't score any offensive TDs 2nd half when they had that lead, and Rodgers got the rust knocked off, I think they can get it done because someone has to keep the Bills honest in the division. Levis cannot be full of confidence after his turnovers cost them the game last week and facing another good defense is not ideal
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Adding Jets -3.5
Must be out of my mind adding another game AND another favorite but this is a step down from the 9ers who ran all over them, something I think a Henry-less Titans team is unlikely to do even tho they did run great vs Chicago 1st half, the fact they couldn't beat a team who didn't score any offensive TDs 2nd half when they had that lead, and Rodgers got the rust knocked off, I think they can get it done because someone has to keep the Bills honest in the division. Levis cannot be full of confidence after his turnovers cost them the game last week and facing another good defense is not ideal
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