Posted:
#1
BI'm a long time reader, few time poster, huge fan of good cappers on this site, and a guy that thinks that I have just recently figured out the way to hit big betting NFl. Most people on this site consider teasers a sucker bet (they are in college but linesman are much sharper on the NFL) . I no longer believe that to be the case. I am a complete and total left brainer (logical thinker for those of you unfamiliar.) and I have been a guy that has lost a bunch of money because over the years I have let emotion cloud my judgement because I am such a huge fan of the sport. I started to try to develop a system that could uncover good betting opportunities for large teasers (10-10.5 pt teasers) I discovered some really good trends. Once that I separated divisional, conference, and out of conference games I found some opportunities. I love 5dimes because of their teaser options and believe that I can hit a 15 team 10.5 point teaser at 22-1 with a semi-regular consistency. I tried my system a couple of weeks ago and hit a $200 dollar 8 teamer at 1 and the a 5 teamer at 4. Last week I swung for the fences at a 15 teamer and went 13-2.. My 2 losses pissed me off - the first and killer of the day was the under in Hou-Jack...Have to laugh since it was the first pro game in history to have 2 200+ yard rec. in same game and I had the under....yuck..the second loss was st louis plus 7.5 over the jets..Dirty Sanchez finally played a respectable game but Chief Bradford took a vacation day... I took the loss in stride and went back to the drawing board to tweak my previous assumptions and I think that I have this nailed. For those with brass (and I promise that it will be fun to follow over the weekend) you take a 15 team 10.5 pt ties reduce teaser at 22.5 to 1 and those wanting safety take a multichance teaser where hitting 14 out of 15 pays 4.5to1. I am not a guy that claims to bet thousands of dollars on game but I am going to put $150 on this to win over $3300. The picks are:
- 11/22/2012 12:30 PM NFL Football 103 Houston Texans* +7½ vs Detroit Lions
- 11/22/2012 12:30 PM NFL Football 103 Houston Texans/Detroit Lions* Over 40
- 11/22/2012 4:15 PM NFL Football 106 Dallas Cowboys* +7½ vs Washington Redskins
- 11/22/2012 4:15 PM NFL Football 105 Washington Redskins/Dallas Cowboys* Under 58½
- 11/22/2012 8:20 PM NFL Football 107 New England Patriots* +3½ vs New York Jets
- 11/22/2012 8:20 PM NFL Football 107 New England Patriots/New York Jets* Under 58½
- 11/25/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 221 Oakland Raiders/Cincinnati Bengals* Over 38½
- 11/25/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 225 Buffalo Bills* +13½ vs Indianapolis Colts
- 11/25/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 227 Denver Broncos* -1 vs Kansas City Chiefs
- 11/25/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 230 Jacksonville Jaguars* +13 vs Tennessee Titans
- 11/25/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 235 Seattle Seahawks* +8 vs Miami Dolphins
- 11/25/2012 4:05 PM NFL Football 237 Baltimore Ravens* +10½ vs San Diego Chargers
- 11/25/2012 4:05 PM NFL Football 237 Baltimore Ravens/San Diego Chargers* Over 36½
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