NFL Thursday Info

...THURSDAY games have gone 3-3 O/U (51.7 ppg).

The Atlanta Falcons come into Thursday’s contest with a Dunkel road rating of 132.213. Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. The Carolina Panthers come in with a Dunkel home rating of 127.528. Carolina is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 home games. Dunkel has the score total set at 45.899. The Panthers have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games overall. Dunkel’s Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2; Under).

Both NFC South rivals are below .500 and desperate to win. It has been a putrid season for the Falcons (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS).
Atlanta has already changed coaches and is coming off a last-second 23-22 loss to the Lions, losing straight up as a one-point
home favorite. The Panthers (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) are riding a two-game skid and just fell to the Saints 27-24, though they kept
it close and covered as seven-point road dogs. This Thursday night game opened with Carolina listed as a three-point home
favorite. The public wants nothing to do with the listless Falcons, and Average Joes are all over the Panthers at home. However,
despite two-thirds of bets laying the points, this line has stayed at 3 or fallen to 2.5. This signals some sharp reverse line
movement on the Falcons, with pros hitting Atlanta at the key number of +3. Atlanta has value as a contrarian divisional dog
and short road dog +6 or less (27-12, 69% ATS this season). Some smart money also has hit the Under, dropping the total
from 51 to 49. Keep an eye on the weather. We might be looking at 10- to 15-mph winds, which would benefit the Under.

CAROLINA is 7-2 ATS(L9G) - [vs OPP] After playing DETROIT
• ATLANTA is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - After playing DETROIT
• ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER(L10G) - After playing DETROIT

UNDER the total is 6-0-1 in L7 of ATL-CAR h2h series in Carolina

Under at half 24.5

Took a 7.5 point teaser:

Panthers +5.5 ; Under 56.5

with the shitty weather being factored in (rain and expected gusts up to 26mph) and the Panthers only allowing 6.4 yards per game thru the air... I feel pretty solid on tonight

DIVISIONAL games went 4-3 O/U (17-14 O/U / 46.5 ppg).

There are so many +8.5 Falcons teasers. Panthers should win and cover that. Trends under as well. Trevor Lawrence talks heat up tonight

ATS Score  Atl 27.5 - 26.75= 54.75

DC Index  Car 26.79 - 23.96 = 50.75

ATLANTA at CAROLINA
Falcons romped in both meetings last year, but
Panthers have covered four of last five after
Saints result. Carolina 1-5-1 vs. line last seven in
Charlotte (1-2 for Matt Rhule). Falcons actually
6-1 vs. line last seven away. Tech Edge: Slight
to Falcons, based on team trends.

(101) ATLANTA at (102) CAROLINA
Game line: Carolina by 3
• Trend: CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at home
vs. poor teams with 40% or less winning
percentage
Analysis: Carolina has not been a team
bettors have learned to trust as the favorite. In
fact, it’s quite the opposite and very fitting that
the Panthers turned to a new quarterback this
season with a tremendous penchant for coming
through as an underdog. On Thursday, Carolina
hosts struggling Atlanta, which seemingly can’t
even avoid falling into the end zone right
this season. Even though coach Matt Rhule’s
team is two games better in the standings and
playing at home, it doesn’t mean this will be
a cakewalk. The Panthers have lost their last
seven home games against the spread versus
teams winning 40% or less of their games. The

Falcons have also won in Carolina in back-to-
back seasons and continue to put up points, and

a good fight, on a weekly basis.

The home team is 11-5 against the spread in the last 16 meetings between these two teams, while Carolina is 4-1 against the number in its last five games overall. The Panthers are also 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and have cashed in seven of their last nine games when playing in the month of October. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 1-4 against the spread in their last five conference games, are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and are 8-21 at the betting window in their last 29 games played in the month of October.

Car -2

ATLANTA at CAROLINA

Falcons romped in both meetings LY, but Panthers have covered 4 of last 5 after Saints result.
Carolina 1-5-1 vs. line last seven in Charlotte (1-2 for Rhule).
Falcs actually 6-1 vs. line last seven away.

Tech Edge: Slight to Falcons, based on team trends

Thursday, October 29

ATLANTA (1 - 6) at CAROLINA (3 - 4) - 10/29/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 86-59 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Falcons vs. Panthers Betting Prediction

The under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams and is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings at Bank of America Stadium. The under is also 4-0 in the Falcons’ last four games played on Thursday, is 5-1 in their last six games played in the month of October and is 65-29-4 in their last 98 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Panthers’ last five games overall and is 4-1 in their last five games coming off an ATS win.   Play UN 51

101ATLANTA -102 CAROLINA
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game in the last 2 seasons.

Week 8

Falcons (1-6) @ Carolina (3-4)
— Falcons are 0-5 ATS when they score less than 39 points.
— Atlanta covered two of its three road games.
— Falcons lost 30-16 at Green Bay in their only outdoor game so far.
— Atlanta is 6-4 ATS in its last ten games as a road underdog.
— Three of their four games stayed under the total.

— Carolina lost its last two games, 23-16/27-24.
— Panthers lost two of its three home games this year.
— Carolina is 10-14 ATS in its last 24 games as a home favorite.
— Team leading at halftime won all seven Carolina games.
— Over is 4-3 in Panther games this season.

— Carolina (+2.5) upset the Falcons 23-16 in Atlanta, three weeks ago, their first win in last six series games.
— Falcons won 24-10/29-3 in their last two visits to Charlotte.

Trend this season, Play on Road Dogs vs opp off SU loss  21-6 ATS

Two teams are active for this trend this week,    Atlanta  &  S.F.

Panthers 0-5 ATS in Thursdays and 1-5 ATS of late in this series.

Note that the
home team is 1-6 ATS in Falcon games,

@Slick_Jimmy

 Good luck

Atlanta at Carolina – The Panthers defeated the Falcons, 23-16, in Week 5. The
Falcons have won and covered in their last two road games against the Panthers.

The 'under' went 1-2 in the three primetime games, as only the Seattle Seahawks-Arizona Cardinals game went 'over' (54.5). In fact, the 71 points tied a high for the weekend.
 
-- The 'under' has hit at a 14-9 (60.1%) clip in 23 primetime games so far this season.