YTD (NFL): 10-7-1
After a slow start, we have found some solid footing. Looking forward to keeping it going today with the following plays. Might not be around later so look out for more plays earlier than normal:
BALTIMORE (+2.5) & (-2): So I woke up today and read DeShaun Watson is not playing. Usually that will have me totally lay off a game but as I had already played the Ravens at +2.5 yesterday and I am also going to play them at -2 for the same reasoning; The Ravens are 24-6 SU in their last 30 vs the Browns. That is called OWNING a team. Coming off a loss, and also being 12-3 ATS in Cleveland over the past 15, this is as automatic for this HUGE Ravens fan as it comes. I was playing this game no matter what, I know it sounds ludicrous, but just given the trends and where the teams currently sit. The UNDER should also hit here but I'm not touching it. Ironically this was going to be a BIG PLAY until hearing about Watson. Missing him and Chubb, two centerpieces for the offense against a really good Ravens D, think it might be tough to pull it off.
OVER 53 (MIAMI/BUFFALO): I respect those that think this line is too high, but I'm not one of them. The OVER has come in on 7 out of the last 10 games played between these two teams and in 8 or 9 of the last games played in Buffalo.. With no big injuries to either side, and no weather issue, I do not see this game a blowout or a low scoring affair.
OVER 43 (WASHINGTON/PHILADELPHIA): Both of these teams can score, both use the RB's in clever ways, and the trends again point to this being a higher scoring affair. The Total is set a bit low imo and I feel that this should get to at worst 45 points giving the OVER a solid edge here.
CINCINNATI FH (-1/2): Love this line, love this play. Sure, on the first half and who knows what takes place, but the Titans aren't going to all of a sudden start scoring in bunches. The Bengals on the other hand, just might. I think Burrow's calf has hindered him (obviously), but also think it's getting better. Bengals have started slow in all of their games and think they come out and make a concerted effort to buck that trend.
That's what I have for the moment, will be great to get the sweep. Have my eye on a couple other games but will be out for some of the afternoon. Keep comments positive and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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