YTD (NFL): 42-32-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 6-5 ATS)
I have not been great of late and been very much into my head as to when to post and when not to. Negative comments are so puzzling to me b/c I take time to analyze and just share the information and plays. I'm human, I make mistakes, but this seems to be a forum where none of that is appreciated. So I'm going to keep my head down and keep doing what I enjoy and share with those who like the read. But all that to say tread carefully, also haven't been amazing in CFB though NBA has started off great.
Today I'm keeping it short and to the point. I have a couple of games early, including one BIG PLAY, but I'm seeing people all over the board on some of the other games:
INDIANAPOLIS (+5)...BIG PLAY!!!: Indianapolis are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston. Enough said. The Colts are a different team when Jonathan Taylor is on the field and the Texans are a different team in the 2nd halves of games. With still no Nico Collins I think the Colts can defend the pass here well enough to keep the game close and maybe outright win. They are also 5-1 this year ATS and I don't see that changing here.
CINCINNATI (-2.5): Enough of this love for the Eagles. If you ask Eagles fans, they think Jalen Hurts is the problem. If you ask me, I think it's Nick Sirianni. He just makes a lot of bonehead decisions and in a game that should feature quite a few scoring drives, I think he makes another one that keeps the Eagles from winning this game. Plus the Bengals are 4-0-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and the Eagles are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
OVER 23 FH (ATL/TB): These are two of the highest scoring FH teams in the NFL and I think this is a tad bit lower b/c of TB receiver injuries. But then you take into account how bad the TB defense is and how good a rookie WR in McMillan could very well be and I really like this play. I definitely see 24 points and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a handful more in the opening frame.
I'm laying off my Ravens today as they crush the Browns but are dropping quite a few points. I'd most likely have played them OVER because I can't imagine that Jameis Winston can be any worse than DeShaun Watson but maybe smart to wait a week and see if that thesis is correct. The Ravens are really good against the run so I'm thinking they can keep Nick Chubb's numbers respectable. They will win, that's what they do against the Browns, but I'm not overly confident they cover the inflated number.
Lots of games but many tough affairs so I'm sticking with this for the moment. Will be nice to see Tua back and I think the Dolphins crush the Cardinals when all is said and done but again, want to see how he comes out after the layoff. As always, keep comments positive, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Always appreciate your posts! 
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