NFL WEEK 1 HAIL

Yo my dudes lets keep it real it's a great start to the season with my feel for the broncos game being correct and giving me positive vibes for week 1. Anyone following would know I did well last year and posted a good amount of winners. The redskins finally came around winning 7 or 8 straight however many it was and i don't know something about when your team is doing well it helps for a winning feeling when it comes to making those wagers. I'd consider myself an NFC east expert seeing as how close Ive consistently followed these teams ups and downs for years so I feel like things are starting to click as the whole have to fail to succeed thing hopefully takes effect in my life. Ive constantly just watched my money get eaten by the books while yeah I'll make some money but always end up losing it so my profits are yeah at a all time low. My season changed last year when I was in Dover doing Parlays and it was the first season I felt accomplished in sports wagering and I've been doing it for 10 years. I maintained around 60% easily and had more winning weeks than losing which was impressive to me because they were parlays and I was just betting for recreation, enjoyment and love for money and the game. That being said off the break I like the giants +3.5 for one because I'm not a believer in Tony Romo and the Cowboys and for two I just think giants are the better team. I am biased against dallas yes but I don't really see Romo doing much but having Jerry Jones believe in him when I don't know who else does. In my opinion like I said with the ups and downs and having the giants win two superbowls in the past 8 years or so and seeing them do it with 8-8 or 9-7 records to finish out the season I see all of the NFC teams show that inconsistency and unpredictability. The giants went from superbowl champs to missing the playoffs last year because that's just how they are. They are an up and down team a perfect example of playing at the level of your competition and there might not be a team more inconsistent than them. However these divisional rivalries can get pretty tricky but instinctively I usually like the dogs because they are typically close match ups and records don't seem to say or mean much in these games. It's hard for me to bet against the skins but I will feel more safer backing them this year than I have ever before with our new and improved everything. I don't feel the same towards any of the other NFC east teams and I think they all are in their funk stage that we have just got out of since the addition of the shannahan era and RG111 leading a fresh well balanced in depth offense with a defense that had been decent since before last year but it's funny when you're offense sucks you're defense steps up then your offense gets good and the stats say your defense sucks, but no we have arguably two of the best defensive ends in the league (orakpo kerrigan), london fletcher, D hall we got vets man I know my man D hall jumps the route sometimes but he is a proven star cornerback and can always be in the running for a breakout season. Regardless I am believer in the redskins defense. Im not taking the cowboys because they have had difficulty within the division especially and it's one of those things where I just feel at this point giants are the better team and safer bet with the 3.5. It will prob be a field goal game either way so who cares who wins. No one can tell me this is an easy hobby/profession and all yall trust fund babies who consider this your profession come play some progressive parlays with me and I'll show you how to turn a few bucks into a few hundred instead of all these magical huge profit guys that got some inheritance stashed away and it really doesn't make a difference if you win or lose a few thousand bucks this year. I do this week in and week out always low stakes in and out sportsbooks. It was my first year attending Dover downs in Delaware which hosts no over/unders and minimum three team parlays/progressive parlays and no straight bets. I crushed week 13 turning less than 100 dollars into what would have been close to $2000 had the 49ers not got their butt kicked in seattle on sunday night. Anyway with that being said I lost that game and still made 8x my money which pretty much covered my recreational bets for the entire season so yeah one week can make a difference and couple hundred bucks here and there profit bi-weekly made it an enjoyable season. Did I make out huge? No. Do I wager huge? No. Scared money don't make money and I dont have any so whatever you are wagering with just stay within your means and I truly believe that's a good gambling rule. You take your losses especially with parlays but every year it feels like I learn more about the matchups and scorecard while desperately making and effort to put my predictions in the right place while figuring out how heavy i want to invest in my prediction. I'm not here to bullshit you and I'm not going to post all the time either. I don't see too many reputable cappers left in here no offense. I'm done saying names, but in my opinion I only trust a handful of cappers insights and literally a handful, like 5 people. Everyone has good weeks and bad weeks and that's it but the consistency and dedication only exists with very few. I'm excited about the season and I'm hoping to give some solid wins. With that being said I'm pretty much going with my gut and where I think the oddsmakers guts are at as well. Starting with kc/jacksonville seattle/carolina jets/tampa Hou/SD all with home dogs of 3.5 you can see the oddsmakers like the road teams. All I'm going to say is jets are gonna be better without sanchez and I'm going to give Geno Smith a chance against a not anything special on the road team. They have not given me any reason to believe this spread should be more than a pick em. I am way more convinced on the other road faves, seattle -3.5 KC -3.5, HOU -3.5 There is no real reason why it's just an instinctive thing with the talent of both sides and me believing KC will be much better with the addition of Andy Reid and Alex Smith. Seattle is obviously the better team than Carolina and I'm not sold on a below average panthers team until I see a below average panthers team not play below average. I met a panthers fan on vacation last week and mentioned that I thought Cam Newton was decent and good for that franchise and she begged to differ. They're local fans are not believing in the panthers so it hit me why should I? You all can fade me but I take this stuff to heart and it doesn't help when the fans aren't even sold on their franchise quarterback. As for monday night It's a huge game and Vick normally tears it up at Fed EX however the eagles along with Vick played like so much doo doo last year that I honestly think it's not the coach it's that bogus ass dream team that people wanted to hype up and with all the beef at practice and Vick openly saying them young bucks don't respect him you can see where the team is at. Not on a team-like level at this point and I don't see much of an improvement from last year.
#HTTR mon night skins -3.5
I like the value for the bills and I think the line is over inflated. Im going to take the home divisional dog which Im always a fan of. Bills + 10
Cleve-PK
colts-10
titans +7
bears -3
vikings +5
zona +4.5
GB +4.5
NY giants +3.5

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