Posted:
#1
Baltimore ML -120 - 3.5*
GB should have trouble running with backup RB's (TY & Aaron Jones out) & LT out & Hundley hammy & Ravens 3rd best passing defense too - Ravens off a bye also & GB off big win against the Bears in Chicago & have a look ahead playing SNF next week in Pitt - like the Ravens who are starting to get healthy all together besides Staley OL out, but thinking against this GB defense that won't come back to haunt them yet - Collins been running well & Flacco wants to start throwing more deep balls & against not a great secondary & Maclin/Wallace healthier - Woodhead coming back also & Buck Allen has been a good receiver out of the backfield
Chicago +3 - 3*
Public is all over detroit & with a huge look ahead at home on Thanksgiving against Vikings coming up & coming off 2 straight wins, but against the Browns & GB without Rodgers - Detroit doesn't run the ball well & against a decent run defense & against a good pass defense in the Bears, so this is a bad matchup for them - they were ran over by Cleveland last week & Chicago can run & should be a gritty game for an indoor team playing in soldier field with some cold weather - Bears good coach, good run team & OL & Trubisky playing better & 4-0 ATS at home this year - good spot for Bears to cover in what should be a low scoring division battle - Lions have not been good in the redzone either which helps getting the points
Arizona (spread to be determined - hoping to be able to buy up to 3 tomorrow - if not will take 2 or 1.5) - 3*
Tough betting Blaine Gabbert on the road in his first start, but he played well last year in the games he started for SF & was a first round pick after all - should arguably be better than Stanton & Arizona has had extra time to prep for this one coming off TNF tough game vs SEA. Gabbert can run & Houston D has given up yards to rushing QBs & over 300 passing in 3 straight & AP should be able to run better than last week especially considering HOU got rinsed last week by the Rams & HOU I'm sure realizes by now their season is over without Watson & Savage not the answer - Zona run d very good, which should stymie the Texans run game & Patrick Pete should shadow DeAndre & now with Fuller out I'm not sure how HOU will keep up - Texans also have MNF next week - Public on HOU as well, which never hurts - I feel Arizona comes to play in this one & comes out with a W - always want key numbers if can get them though
Minn ML -130 - 2.5*
I have been winning plays with the Rams most of this season, but they have played a super easy schedule especially the last few weeks with last week being another easy win against HOU without Watson & Savage at QB & no Watt etc & the week before off the bye playing the Giants who clearly had given up on their coach & before that Arizona in London when Palmer got hurt. This will be a BIG test for them on the road in Minnesota against one of the best defenses in the league with Everson Griffin back. Rams weakness on defense is their run d & I expect the Vikings to pound the rock with Keenum still at QB with Murray & McKinnon & think they should be able to put pressure on Goff & contain the run game & maybe cause some mistakes - just feel the Vikings are the better team & getting less than 3 at home here I'll take it - tough game though
Tampa pk - 2.5*
Tampa off a big win after a long losing streak & Fitzpatrick I'm sure is psyched to be starting again & now gets back Mike Evans who he will have a blast throwing to & against a horrible dolphins defense & corners that is on a short week coming back to Miami after playing MNF in Carolina & getting waxed & next week they have a big look ahead to playing in NE - Tampa only taking a short ride to Miami after playing at home last week & may have even more fans at the stadium than Dolphins fans - Tampa defense is getting healthy & Cutler has been bad & run blocking has been bad too - Tampa should take this one & get their first road W of the year - still, it's Tampa with Fitzmagic & they have a division game in ATL next week so nothing huge
0
Hot Forum Topics
