Heavy over reaction to the situation imo. Still have a viable backup in Wentz, motivation to show case he can still play the game at a high level. Other side a must have for Denver, all the pressure, and rookie QB laying a lot of points and they don't have a particularly high powered O in Denver. Not the first time Reid has rested guys in week 18 and he's 4-1 ATS in those types of spots. Do they want the Bengals in or the Broncos? Easy choice imo but lots of points here.
LA Rams +7.5 2u
Same situation with Jimmy G, really high level backup imo. Blake Corum will get the start at RB, as a Michigan guy couldn't be more excited for the kid today. Great back and can't wait to see what he can do. Where's the motive for Seattle? Seasons over, do their starters play a full game? Do they care? Does it matter? I think from a situational perspective there is style motive to win this one for LA.
Detroit ML -145 5u
Largest of the season for me. Respect to Minnesota for what they've done with a pre-season O/U of 6, but I don't buy Minnesota in the NFC or Pittsburgh in the AFC. Statistically speaking I look at the top teams record wise and their net numbers; Philly +91 ypg, Detroit +65 ypg, KC +32 ypg, Baltimore +100 ypg, Buffalo + 22 ypg and then Minnesota +20 ypg. Just a statistic, but tells me the Vikes have been somewhat fortunate in close games & if you look at results that is the case. 9-1 in 1 score games & this is against a 3rd place schedule from a year ago. Timely TO's have been important for them, one thing Goff doesn't do often is turn it over. Flores is a blitz heavy coordinator and the only QB's who are better than Goff against that type of defense are Mahomes and Allen.. not bad company. Has absolutely shredded this D the past 3 meetings. Think it will be a close game given the Lions defensive liabilities, but overall i like the matchup for Detroit, particularly QB.
Jacksonville +3.51u
Partly bc I need some 1:00 action. Partly bc anytime these AFC south teams saddle up together I take the points, always seems to be weird sh*t that happens in these meetings.
GL
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 21-25 -5.05u
Kansas City +11.5 2u
Heavy over reaction to the situation imo. Still have a viable backup in Wentz, motivation to show case he can still play the game at a high level. Other side a must have for Denver, all the pressure, and rookie QB laying a lot of points and they don't have a particularly high powered O in Denver. Not the first time Reid has rested guys in week 18 and he's 4-1 ATS in those types of spots. Do they want the Bengals in or the Broncos? Easy choice imo but lots of points here.
LA Rams +7.5 2u
Same situation with Jimmy G, really high level backup imo. Blake Corum will get the start at RB, as a Michigan guy couldn't be more excited for the kid today. Great back and can't wait to see what he can do. Where's the motive for Seattle? Seasons over, do their starters play a full game? Do they care? Does it matter? I think from a situational perspective there is style motive to win this one for LA.
Detroit ML -145 5u
Largest of the season for me. Respect to Minnesota for what they've done with a pre-season O/U of 6, but I don't buy Minnesota in the NFC or Pittsburgh in the AFC. Statistically speaking I look at the top teams record wise and their net numbers; Philly +91 ypg, Detroit +65 ypg, KC +32 ypg, Baltimore +100 ypg, Buffalo + 22 ypg and then Minnesota +20 ypg. Just a statistic, but tells me the Vikes have been somewhat fortunate in close games & if you look at results that is the case. 9-1 in 1 score games & this is against a 3rd place schedule from a year ago. Timely TO's have been important for them, one thing Goff doesn't do often is turn it over. Flores is a blitz heavy coordinator and the only QB's who are better than Goff against that type of defense are Mahomes and Allen.. not bad company. Has absolutely shredded this D the past 3 meetings. Think it will be a close game given the Lions defensive liabilities, but overall i like the matchup for Detroit, particularly QB.
Jacksonville +3.51u
Partly bc I need some 1:00 action. Partly bc anytime these AFC south teams saddle up together I take the points, always seems to be weird sh*t that happens in these meetings.
Lions weren’t great but Sam Darnold is terrible. Cannot believe anyone backs this guy. 18/41 tonight against a D missing like 9 guys. Hope Minnesota signs him forever, but they would be very wise to turn it over to JJ next year & spend that $$ elsewhere.
If you want your money back for betting the Vikes tonight take the Rams ML next Monday. Vikes are one and done.
0
Lions
week 18: 3-1 +5.8u
Season: 24-26 +0.75u
Lions weren’t great but Sam Darnold is terrible. Cannot believe anyone backs this guy. 18/41 tonight against a D missing like 9 guys. Hope Minnesota signs him forever, but they would be very wise to turn it over to JJ next year & spend that $$ elsewhere.
If you want your money back for betting the Vikes tonight take the Rams ML next Monday. Vikes are one and done.
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