NFL YTD 12-7 +3.8 units
2* 2-2 -0.5 units
1* 10-5 +4.3 units
My last pick was two weeks ago as Miami beat SF to improve my record to 12-7 on the year. The NFL's final week is often unpredictable with motivation questions on a lot of teams. Nonetheless, I'm diving in with three plays.
Saturday:
Bengals ML -125
Cincinnati has won four in a row and may simply be the better team right now. Pittsburgh has lost three straight and got blown out by KC last week. If the Ravens win earlier in the day (almost a cinch), Pittsburgh can't win the division and will be locked into a wild card spot. They may then rest starters.
Sunday:
1* Buccaneers -13 1/2
New Orleans is awful right now and the coaching staff is lame duck with a house cleaning coming after the year. NO has scored only 29 the last three weeks and Ratler has been really bad. Tampa Bay has everything to play for as they win the division with a win and could get knocked out of the playoffs altogether with a loss. Bucs have scored 112 the last three weeks and 475 on the season. No way NO can keep up.
1* Lions -2 1/2 (-115)
I know Detroit is beaten up on defense but the offense remains unstoppable. The stakes for this game are huge. The winner gets the #1 seed and a bye and the loser falls to 5 seed and has to play its playoff games on the road. Both teams are 11-4-1 ATS but Campbell's spread record has been off the charts since he got to Detroit. I normally prefer defense to offense in big games but the Lions at home are hard to oppose.
Opinion only:
Falcons -8
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