Week 1 (5-2) + 12 units
Week 2 (1-0) + 3 units
Decided to stay away from the spread and went with the over on Thursday. I don't know why but I had a bad feeling about the Browns possibly letting one slip to the Bengals. Anyway, I started the week on the right side and I am hoping to keep the momentum going. Week 2 is always challenging each year because there is such an over-reaction to week one. My card so far looks as follows:
Lions/Packers O49 (-120) - 3 units
Vikings +3 (-120) - 3 units
2-Team 6-point Teaser - Chiefs -2.5 & Saints +0.5 - 5 units
Bills -5.5 (-110) - 4 units
Write-ups:
Lions/Packers: The lions are decimated in the secondary and injuries at CB. This plays right into GB strengths. We know that Davante Adams will get his fair share of targets but I look for both Valdez-Scantling and Allen Lazard to be able to exploit the secondary. I see the Packers easily being able to put up 28-35 points and, despite injury to Kenny Golladay, I think we can count on Detroit to keep the game between 7-10 points judging by the line. GB has a tendency to play down to their level of competition and that (or backdoor score) could ruin the spread. I think the over is the play here.
Vikings/Colts: Indianapolis line is elite and Jonathan Taylor is a solid back who will get the majority share now with injury to Marlon Mack. However, Philip Rivers is still Philip Rivers and despite his individual awards, he still manages to underperform (see last week vs. Jacksonville). The Vikings are still a very good team. No, their defense is not what it used to be last year due to departure of their defensive ends, but they still have Harrison Smith and other key players on defense. Mike Zimmer will have appropriately game planned for this Colts team and I think this is a really good spot for the Vikings to be getting points.
Chiefs/Saints Teaser: KC is an elite team that should easily win against the chargers. Sounds easy, right? If only gambling were that easy. I am rolling with KC. I like what they can do on offense when they are healthy. CEH fits nicely into their scheme and they have too many weapons in the passing game that will make it difficult for the Chargers. I am not sold on Tyrod Taylor and do not think he will be able to match the offensive prowess of the Chiefs. To that effect, similar rational with the Saints. Despite injury to Michael Thomas, Drew Brees and company should have no problem putting up points against the Raiders. Just look at what CMC and Bridgewater did to them last week. The Raiders defense is still very much suspect and I think that this game comes down to who can get more stops. IMO, that is the Saints defense.
Bills: I know it has only been one week but I am on the Bills band wagon. I just feel like they are a very complete team. Josh Allens poise and maturity is showing. Yes, he still scrambles a lot and sometimes tries to do too much but I think that when he is taking care of the ball, and their elite defense is getting stops, few teams will be able to beat them. The addition of S. Diggs is huge and their options at tailback will make it difficult on this Dolphins team to be able to keep up with them, let alone stop them. Fitzpatrick is known to sling it but if he is not careful with this Bills defense, we could see a 2+ turnover day for him.
BOL 
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