NFL Week Three Sunday Preview (Early Games)
Before diving into the preview for this Sunday, I think it is very important that you realize there is still limited data. Since I’ve been in this racket for a long time, I have developed that ability to pretty much know when teams are undervalued or overvalued without the math. A lot of positions taken during these early weeks are situational and based on what the public eyes see and remember. The betting board for this week looks very appetizing to say the least and I will be taking a high volume of positions. Not so much though with totals.
Ravens vs. Jaguars (+4, 39.5) ** Game will be played in London
Tough spot for the Crows here with the almighty Pittsburgh Steelers on deck next week. The Ravens opened up with two straight convincing wins over divisional foes at Cincy and at home against the Browns. With the jags melting down at home last week against the Titans, value presents itself here. Plus, remember, this is the Crows first trip across the water and it will mark the 5th time Jacksonville has made this trip. I made the number here a Pick so a +4 buy was an easy one to make.
Browns @ Colts (+1.5, 42.5)
Just a really really hard game to dissect. I suppose you would have to look at the Colts because lets face it, should the Browns be road chalk against anyone? Leaned Colts initially, but will stay away.
Steelers @ Bears (+7.5, 44)
As I have said before many upon many upon many of times, the Steelers never perform well in games they should handle easily. And with Division Rival Baltimore on deck, the easy choice here is the Bears and all of those points. In fact, I would not be entirely shocked if the Bears won outright. Bought +7.5 and a tiny bit of ML.
Dolphins @ Jets (+6, 43)
The perfect scenario happened last week with the Dolphins winning in LA over the Chargers and the Jets getting bombed in Oakland. Situations like this make bookies inflate lines and there is no doubt this one is inflated. Gimme a little bit of Jets +6.
Broncos @ Bills (+3, 40)
This one is simple. The Broncos are at the top of the heap from an overvalued standpoint after blowing out the Cowboys last weekend. Ticket writers will be smiling when everyone and their brother run to the window buying Broncos. I ran to the window too when I saw that the Broncs are getting a visit from Division Rival Oakland next week. Give me Bills ML as my top position of the weekend.
Texans @ Patriots (-14, 44)
Wont be involved too much in this one. I did buy Texans in an extremely small position but it was a pure numbers grab at +14.5.
Saints @ Panthers (-6, 46.5)
This line opened Carolina -3 in the summer and now sits at -6. I feel this number is too high. Cam still doesn’t seem right and not having Greg Olsen is a big problem. The Saints defense is a wreck but they should be able to do some things offensively to keep this one inside the number. Took a position at +6.
Buccaneers @ Vikings (+2.5, 39)
Vikings will once again be without QB Sam Bradford which is why they find themselves in a home dog role here. My initial total here was 43 with Bradford and after watching the All 22s, I am conviced Bradford is worth around 7 when it comes to the total. I bought Under 39 with pocket change.
Falcons @ Lions (+3, 51)
After a shaky opening week win over the Bears, the Falcons blew out the Packers yet again last weekend in the brand new stadium. I really like how the Lions are playing but make no mistake they should be a dog here. Don’t really have a strong position here but +3.5 might get me to the window.
Giants @ Eagles (-6, 43)
I want to back the Giants so bad here. I really do. But after watching that offensive performance against the Lions, I just have to dig a little more into it. I did buy Under 21.5 first half because the Giants just cannot score TD’s. The Eagles have injury dots all over the secondary but I just can’t see Eli exploiting it.
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