NFL Sunday Outlook (Early Games)
Saints vs. Dolphins (3, 50.5) ** Game In London **
Value created here based on results from last weekend. The Fins were a complete dud in their loss to the Jets while the Saints went into Charlotte and dominated Carolina. This game will be across the water but to me, I don’t think it will be advantageous or detrimental to either team. I think the number is off here and I took a pretty heavy position with the Fins +3 and also a little money line as well. I would have loved to see +3.5 but I really do not see that coming despite the Saints being the public darlings. I at least wanted to grab 3 just in case the guys in the suits and sunglasses gobbled it up and left some of us in no mans land staring at a 2.5. I have nothing on the total here.
Panthers @ Patriots (-9, 49.5)
For a team that I thought would contend in the AFC South, the Panthers have been anything but impressive. They were awful and got dominated by the Saints at home last week and after viewing the All 22s, I am not convinced this team is capable of making the drastic improvement they would need to make to win in Foxboro. A big part of me would love to join the Patriots party here but unlike others, I refuse to pay top premium prices when it comes to the Patriots. Pass on side and total.
Rams @ Cowboys (-6, 48)
I don’t want any part of the side here but a big part of me wants to grab some under on the total. My concern is that the Cowboys are beat up defensively and with the Rams getting Todd Gurley more involved, it has basically made Jared Goff a better QB. I made the total 44 so….hmmm….most likely wait to game time and see if this thing gets to 49. If it does, I will buy a little bit. If not, I will watch.
Lions @ Vikings (-1.5, 42.5)
I like the Vikings here and took a large position. While backing a team with Case Keenum at the controls is not always a wise one, I thought he played well last week and looked pretty comfortable. I really don’t think Keenum will have to do too much here and I fully expect this Vikings D to give the Lions some problems. I made the number Vikings -4 and when my number is on the other side of the 3, I plunge. Nothing on the total.
Titans @ Texans (2.5, 43.5)
Tough one here but Im gonna side with the home dog and take the ML. I made Texans a short favorite here. There is just something about this Titans team that rubs me the wrong way. And let’s face it, Mariota has been less than stellar thus far with that 86 Passer rating. Furthermore, this line was Texans -3 in the summer….what really changed? Why the 5.5 point swing?
Jaguars @ Jets (3, 38)
Pass. I think this game is priced accordingly.
Bengals @ Browns (3, 41.5)
Pass. I think this game is priced accordingly.
Steelers @ Ravens (3, 42)
My largest position of the weekend will be on the Ravens +3 and also took a ML position. The wrong team is favored here. The Steelers offense, for whatever reason, has been sputtering and I highly doubt they get things going against this Ravens D, whom I feel is one of the top 3 in the NFL. Both teams got caught looking ahead last weekend. Tempo will be important here and normally the home team controls tempo when matched against an equal opponent. Under got hit at the sendout but now it is creeping back up. May get involved at 44.5 or better.
Bills @ Falcons (-8, 48.5)
Took a position on the Bills here. I mentioned before several times how teams will digress off their previous season’s value number and to me, the Birds are overpriced big time here. I made the number -4.5, so for my number to be on the other side of the 7….well….I fire away. Nothing on the total.
Hot Forum Topics
