No lie, Ive been losing my azz off with the newly and improved NFL.
I've tried to tailed people and still lost. My best weapon yet is the self fading method. Fade the loser (that's me) for money.
I'll pick my own first but when I bet, I bet the opposite on purpose. I think this is the best formula yet. Gotta try it. Here I go.
These are what I am placing my bet on after the flip. I also noticed that them teams I'm betting on (after the flip) are also better against the spread than the other team.
Wash +6.5
Pitt -3
Den +3
Den under 35.5
Atl -6
Cinn under 47.5
Indy over 42.5
I'm going to win this week. I can smell what the rock been cooking. I'm excited to see that I finally win on this self fading method. Logic only makes sense with this new strategy of mine.
X_____________________________
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
No lie, Ive been losing my azz off with the newly and improved NFL.
I've tried to tailed people and still lost. My best weapon yet is the self fading method. Fade the loser (that's me) for money.
I'll pick my own first but when I bet, I bet the opposite on purpose. I think this is the best formula yet. Gotta try it. Here I go.
These are what I am placing my bet on after the flip. I also noticed that them teams I'm betting on (after the flip) are also better against the spread than the other team.
Wash +6.5
Pitt -3
Den +3
Den under 35.5
Atl -6
Cinn under 47.5
Indy over 42.5
I'm going to win this week. I can smell what the rock been cooking. I'm excited to see that I finally win on this self fading method. Logic only makes sense with this new strategy of mine.
Oh boy. Once you do it, this will be the week it flips. What ive realized betting NFL is that the edges are a lot better on props. Its harder to figure out who will win and cover the game vs identifying a matchup or receiving yardage number with value based on what youve seen that isnt as easily measured. Ive done way better since I started doing that about 3 years ago, it brought me from breakeven or losing most years to being profitable consistently.
For example, 2 weeks ago Miami played Ten and Tyreek had a couple deep targets that were over or underthrown so he had his lowest rec yds in that game in years I believe, but shouldve had more. Next week vs NE his total was only 40 something. Obviously Tyreek and the new QB w an extra week of practice are going to work on the timing and everything and straighten that out so we go over on his total and it hits easily. But the books priced his total based on what hes done and what the QB has done, they cant easily mathematically make a total based on what he couldve done and what we will think he will do with an extra week of practice.
Something to consider. I am glued to NFL redzone all sunday and watch all the standalone games every play then i review NFL Game Recaps on youtube. You need to pay attention to the stuff that didnt happen like broken up plays to a TE2 or TE3 w a low receiving total that dont make the stat sheet that you know they will try again the next week.
Or something like remembering that the saints all last year had trouble running it in near the goal line and got TDs throwing to TEs especially foster moreau. I knew KC would be hard for them to run on and bet Moreau at +650 for the TD and hit.
Just look for different bets than just sides and totals. There are so many better opportunities
1
Oh boy. Once you do it, this will be the week it flips. What ive realized betting NFL is that the edges are a lot better on props. Its harder to figure out who will win and cover the game vs identifying a matchup or receiving yardage number with value based on what youve seen that isnt as easily measured. Ive done way better since I started doing that about 3 years ago, it brought me from breakeven or losing most years to being profitable consistently.
For example, 2 weeks ago Miami played Ten and Tyreek had a couple deep targets that were over or underthrown so he had his lowest rec yds in that game in years I believe, but shouldve had more. Next week vs NE his total was only 40 something. Obviously Tyreek and the new QB w an extra week of practice are going to work on the timing and everything and straighten that out so we go over on his total and it hits easily. But the books priced his total based on what hes done and what the QB has done, they cant easily mathematically make a total based on what he couldve done and what we will think he will do with an extra week of practice.
Something to consider. I am glued to NFL redzone all sunday and watch all the standalone games every play then i review NFL Game Recaps on youtube. You need to pay attention to the stuff that didnt happen like broken up plays to a TE2 or TE3 w a low receiving total that dont make the stat sheet that you know they will try again the next week.
Or something like remembering that the saints all last year had trouble running it in near the goal line and got TDs throwing to TEs especially foster moreau. I knew KC would be hard for them to run on and bet Moreau at +650 for the TD and hit.
Just look for different bets than just sides and totals. There are so many better opportunities
Oh boy. Once you do it, this will be the week it flips. What ive realized betting NFL is that the edges are a lot better on props. Its harder to figure out who will win and cover the game vs identifying a matchup or receiving yardage number with value based on what youve seen that isnt as easily measured. Ive done way better since I started doing that about 3 years ago, it brought me from breakeven or losing most years to being profitable consistently. For example, 2 weeks ago Miami played Ten and Tyreek had a couple deep targets that were over or underthrown so he had his lowest rec yds in that game in years I believe, but shouldve had more. Next week vs NE his total was only 40 something. Obviously Tyreek and the new QB w an extra week of practice are going to work on the timing and everything and straighten that out so we go over on his total and it hits easily. But the books priced his total based on what hes done and what the QB has done, they cant easily mathematically make a total based on what he couldve done and what we will think he will do with an extra week of practice. Something to consider. I am glued to NFL redzone all sunday and watch all the standalone games every play then i review NFL Game Recaps on youtube. You need to pay attention to the stuff that didnt happen like broken up plays to a TE2 or TE3 w a low receiving total that dont make the stat sheet that you know they will try again the next week. Or something like remembering that the saints all last year had trouble running it in near the goal line and got TDs throwing to TEs especially foster moreau. I knew KC would be hard for them to run on and bet Moreau at +650 for the TD and hit. Just look for different bets than just sides and totals. There are so many better opportunities
Everyone has a niche and you have a good talent there. My co worker son is a freshman in college and while he doesn't tell everything to his dad, he told me he only play props and made money off of it since he has no income as being a typical starving student. These next generation of kids are smarter than the previous generation and that's for sure. The hustling mentality at a young age especially in college will produce us another young CEO like Zuckerberg n future start ups. His son only play props because that's where his talent is at. He can't pick sides or total if his life depends on it like myself. I'm a gen x so my mind is only limited to what my brain can absorb so even fantasy league, my mind already rejecting it. Playing player's props will need me to eat, sleep and talk about sports all day because news n tip leads will give you an advantage to your star players on their props. Too complicated for me as 50/50 odds, I can't even get it right.
X_____________________________
1
Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur:
Oh boy. Once you do it, this will be the week it flips. What ive realized betting NFL is that the edges are a lot better on props. Its harder to figure out who will win and cover the game vs identifying a matchup or receiving yardage number with value based on what youve seen that isnt as easily measured. Ive done way better since I started doing that about 3 years ago, it brought me from breakeven or losing most years to being profitable consistently. For example, 2 weeks ago Miami played Ten and Tyreek had a couple deep targets that were over or underthrown so he had his lowest rec yds in that game in years I believe, but shouldve had more. Next week vs NE his total was only 40 something. Obviously Tyreek and the new QB w an extra week of practice are going to work on the timing and everything and straighten that out so we go over on his total and it hits easily. But the books priced his total based on what hes done and what the QB has done, they cant easily mathematically make a total based on what he couldve done and what we will think he will do with an extra week of practice. Something to consider. I am glued to NFL redzone all sunday and watch all the standalone games every play then i review NFL Game Recaps on youtube. You need to pay attention to the stuff that didnt happen like broken up plays to a TE2 or TE3 w a low receiving total that dont make the stat sheet that you know they will try again the next week. Or something like remembering that the saints all last year had trouble running it in near the goal line and got TDs throwing to TEs especially foster moreau. I knew KC would be hard for them to run on and bet Moreau at +650 for the TD and hit. Just look for different bets than just sides and totals. There are so many better opportunities
Everyone has a niche and you have a good talent there. My co worker son is a freshman in college and while he doesn't tell everything to his dad, he told me he only play props and made money off of it since he has no income as being a typical starving student. These next generation of kids are smarter than the previous generation and that's for sure. The hustling mentality at a young age especially in college will produce us another young CEO like Zuckerberg n future start ups. His son only play props because that's where his talent is at. He can't pick sides or total if his life depends on it like myself. I'm a gen x so my mind is only limited to what my brain can absorb so even fantasy league, my mind already rejecting it. Playing player's props will need me to eat, sleep and talk about sports all day because news n tip leads will give you an advantage to your star players on their props. Too complicated for me as 50/50 odds, I can't even get it right.
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