NFL Week 7

YTD: 17-10-1  +10 Units

Card:

Houston +7 (-25) (2 units)

Houston ML (+210) (.5 unit)

Miami -6.5 (-20)

Cincy/Det o46.5

GL this week fellas

YTD: 17-10-1  +10 Units

Card:

Houston +7 (-25) (2 units)

Houston ML (+210) (.5 unit)

Miami -6.5 (-20)

Cincy/Det o46.5

SD/Jax o44

Yes, there are a few reasons:

-I actually think it helps for them to be on the road and to be starting Keenum.  There is so much negativity in their home stadium with their own fans booing and with zero confidence in Schaub and Yates, being on the road with a fresh face I think will allow this team to focus on what is most important and that is playing well.  They are in a "no lose" situation.  Nobody expects them to win and quite frankly, it cannot get much worse.  I expect Houston to come in and play loose, aggressive football and I think Keenum will play better than expected today.  He wants to prove himself as a QB who can start in this league.

-If you want to look at stats, Houston's O is averaging more yds/gm than KC and their D is giving up less yds/gm.  What has killed Houston is the pick 6s along with all the turnovers by Schaub and Yates.  Having those two out of the equation today helps a lot I think.

-I know KC is a tough place to play and they have been at ATS machine this year, going 5-1.  However, I feel good getting 7 against an offense that doesn't have a ton of firepower.  Most doubted the Chiefs for the first 3 or 4 weeks and they didn't quite believe in them...now the bandwagon is getting full all of a sudden and most can't see how it is even possible for this team not to dominate at home today...I think this game is real close and somewhat low scoring.  I think Houston will have the ball at the end, down 1 and needing a FG to win.  Keenum engineers a drive of his life and Houston kicks the game winning FG...sending the Arrowhead faithful home, stunned

The difference between a 1st string and 3rd string QB differs from team to team.  It will not always be the same drop in quality when looking at the backups instead of the started.  For example, the 3rd string QB in GB will be a hell of a lot worse of an option when compared to Rodgers than the 3rd string in Minnesota when compared to Ponder.  Also, when a QB loses their confidence and they play to "not make a mistake" or turn the ball over that is usually when they play even worse.  I think that is exactly what has happened to Schaub and Yates.  Keenum is a confident guy and I do not think he is fighting the demons that the other 2 QBs are...now, I could be wrong.  I have been before, but that is the way I see this one.  I think Keenum will play better than the other 2 have played and if he doesn't turn the ball over then I think Hou has a great chance for the upset

YTD: 19-13-1  +10.2 Units

Card:

Houston +7 (-25) (2 units) 

Houston ML (+210) (.5 unit) 

Miami -6.5 (-20) 

Cincy/Det o46.5 

SD/Jax o44 

Whheeewww...thank you Andy Reid for doing the right thing   Keenum played about like I thought he would.  Houston avoided the turnovers (until the end) and they hung in there.  Almost got the upset...grinded out a very small profit