read my post, all the substance you need
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NYG07,
I read your post. Here is my take.
As you can see I am a Giants fan, but in all seriousness let me give you the reasons why the Giants will win this game and it will be by 7+ pts.
San Fran had 5 turnovers last week but only made it to the red zone 4 times all game, this is VERY poor. When they got to the red zone they scored 20 pts. The other 16 pts came on 2 big plays, a FG and missed 2pt conversion.
<<<SF scored 4td's and 3 FG's. They turned the first two turnovers into 10 points. Some may see it as poor but most fans will be happy if there teams tunrned to's into points>>>
5 Turnovers and big plays this week will NOT happen. Aaron Rodgers longest completed pass was 21 yards. This from an offense that scored 35 pts a game with HUGE plays. The giants will concentrate on field position and make san francisco drive 70-90 yards to score TD's, it will take 10/11 play drives to do this. Their offense isnt capable. Thier drives will end in FG's and Akers will make all of them. Harbaugh will be conservative in Giants territory believing his defense will stop the giants. If by some reason the 49ers turn the ball over, which I think will happen maybe once at most it will hurt their offense further.
<<<Agreed that five to's will likely not happen. You have SF depicted wrong in your argument. It is SF that likes to grind it out. Giants rely more on the big plays than SF. The 90 yarder to Cruz, 70+ to Nicks or Mannigham and 60+ to Nicks during the last three games allowed Gmen to control/win the games against Jets, ATL and GB. NO, to some, was the most explosive team in the NFL. They were limited (2 big plays). Also, don't just discount the FG's. Recall the first matchup with the Giants. There were a total of six FG combined. The first TD was not scored until ~2 minutes left in the third qtr. IMO, this argument favors SF and not NYG.>>>
San Fran won't score more than 20 pts in this game and I think it will be closer to 13-16. Alex Smith has been sacked 48 times in 17 games. The giants pass rush will get to him at least 2-3 times which will kill drives. They wont have to blitz 3 players to get pressure like new orleans, Smith will have a much harder time completing passes and even with a run game that is very effective they wont score.
<<< It is your opinion that SF wont score more than 20. That has been said the whole year and SF managed to outsocre most teams they played to reach 13-3. NO ONE & I MEAN NO ONE thought they will score 36 points against NO. They did, and the last two TD's were not off of TO's. They were well executed, length of the field, drives under pressure.>>>
Boley didnt play the 2nd half in the last game and the giants were lost on defense and allowed 2 big plays which cost the giants the game. They were up 13-12 in that game in third qtr. Even with boley out the 49ers only were 3 for 11 on third down. Boley is a major factor, the Giants are 11-3 this year when he plays a full game.
<<< I agree with you on Boley. He is hell a player. Do remeber that Frank Gore did not play in the 2nd half of that game. I think Boley's presence in the middle of the field will make a difference. I also think that Harbaugh and company will adjust accordingly. They have proven to make excellent half-time adjustments.>>>
In the last game Manning threw for 311 yards average almost 8 per throw. he went 7-14 on 3rd down and was able to move the ball very well. Bradshaw missed the game. He is healthy and will make a huge difference. Darren Sproles had 15 catches last week. Bradshaw will be a factor out of the backfield, something they didn't have last time they played.
<<< Bradshaw will make a difference but I doubt that it will be HUGE. SF excells against the run. Sproles, to many, was more of a challenge, due to his speed. Yes, he had 15 catches which should tell you how effective SF covered the Saints wideouts, and how little time Brees had with only 3 or 4 men rushing as he kept choosing to dump off to Sproles. In a foot race, Bradshaw would only see dust behind Sproles which should tell you the speed SF has at LB's.>>>
The 49ers are an average 16th in the league in opponent passing yards and gave up 12 plays 40 yards or more which is the 5th most in all of the NFL.
<<< Saints had more depth at WR's and better TE. They were held in check and beaten. Saints running attack was no less than Giants; they were beaten. Both, NYG and NO had better stats; both were beaten. SF is more effective where it counts, on the score board>>>
The weather is completely overrated. The Giants will still be very effective throwing the ball, in fact it will probably be harder to cover Nicks, Cruz, Manningham when the corners are no able to make quick movements to recover when they get beat by them. The giants WR's are more talented than New Orleans and they thrashed them.
<<< I dont think weather favors eithe team. Giants can play in bad weather and so can SF. NO receivers trashded SF? Comeon Bro, had that been true, Gmen would be headed to NO.>>>
Eli Manning has 35 Td's and over 5400 yards this season including the 2 playoff games. He WILL get his points. He has thrown for 2 TD's or more in 13 of the 18 games and the giants are 9-4 in those games and average 28 pts per game. The Giants will score 3 TD's on offense and probably 1-3 FG's from their other drives. This will lead to 24-30 pts.
<<< SF 13-3 in regular season; NYG 9-7. Eli, Stafford, Vick, and Ben (albeit hurt) DID NOT get enough points in regular season to beat SF. Romo was the only one who beat SF in 2nd game of the season, in OT>>>
Final Score Giants 27-13
Any Comments are appreciated.
<<< I have no idea about the Final Score. It will depend upon the weather, the game plans, the breaks, the mistakes, etc, etc, etc. I just think that SF has a better chance of winnning this game>>
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