Posted:
#1
Giants turnover the ball on average 1.2 but 1.7 on road. Defensively force 2.0 but on road 2.3. Their 2-3 on road but 3-2 ATS . They gain 84 yards on average on 3.7 YPA. They give up 108 running yards on avergae at 4 YPA but better at 3.7 YPA on road. Defense is on field 32:00 of the time. They offensviely gain 335 overall yards on average but 319 on the road, 424 yards defensively but 430 yards on road. 3rd conversions on offense is at 38% but on road 32%. Defensively allow 44% but 38% on road.
Miami Forces 1.1 Turnover and 1.2 at home. They turnover the ball 1.3 but 1.5 at home. They avg 20 but at home 21.7. Defensively gives up 25 but 26 . Total yards gain are at 326 but 331 at home. Defensively 390 on average but 378 yards at home. 3rd conversions offensively is at 38% but worse at home at 32%. Defensively they allow 36% on average but 28% at home.
Overall I like the under 47.5 is the lowest vegas would put at it if it was an OVER game I think they would of had it at 48-49. Miami has been incosistent all year and still hasnt won 2 straight at home all year. Most of the games lost by miami are UNDER games. Everytime Miami has a good defense game they give up more points the next game by a big margin. I dont see giants losing 3 in a row with the division wins by washington and philly yesterday to a team who has nothing to play for. Hard to handicap this game but ill go with the team who has something play for. Giants should be a -4 but give the +3 at home rule reason why i think 1 is the line.
Give me
NYG -1
UNDER-47.5
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