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Afternoon Leans for Preseason Week 2 Friday 8/19
NYJ @ WAS
-I really like @Pandemiic's angle on the 1st half under 21. To add, the Redskins touted one of the most diverse passing attacks last year and Kirk Cousins came out solid last game. The Jets have a propensity to become a funnel defense away from home, but the defense played physical last game as it's looking to build depth. The Redskins want to run the ball and their focus will be on that, with an occasional shot from Cousins. If the Redskins secondary can do their part (they were surprisingly good down the stretch) This game will stay UNDER. However 39 for a full game is really low, so my suggested plays would be to tease the Total up 6 points and take 9.5 - 10 points with the the Jets. Why? Geno Smith is hungry to lock up the backup job and will get it done, running if he needs to. TEASER: JETS +9.5 & UNDER 45
MIA @ DAL
-This game just has all the feelings of a shootout to me. Gase will not put up with a stagnant offense, everyone's job is up for grabs at this point in the season. Arian Foster will see a series or two and the dolphins website has suggested that the first team offense will see extended playing time. Miami will also be rotating defensive lineman to find some good rotational players. Dallas's O-Line will be playing at a Championship level to keep Tony Romo unscathed on his way to a feel good TD early on. Like I mentioned casually last week, Dak Prescott is a Poised QB and certainly showed it. He'll get extended playing time again today and I expect production, even if it's not at the same level of efficiency as last week. OVER 41 here
ARI @ SD
-Another game that has the feel of a shootout. Both offenses looking to flex against injury-depleted or non-tackling defenses. The first team offenses could produce upwards towards 20+ points today. What worries me is the Chargers desire to run the ball and the potential complete game-manager style of play we should see from Matt Barkley and Jake Coker as they battle it out for the 3 spot on the Cards Roster. I do like the Mike Bercovici narrative, playing effectively at ASU, the Cardinals fans should support him as well. I think SD needs this win as a feel-good for their fan base. SD -1.
NYJ @ WAS
-I really like @Pandemiic's angle on the 1st half under 21. To add, the Redskins touted one of the most diverse passing attacks last year and Kirk Cousins came out solid last game. The Jets have a propensity to become a funnel defense away from home, but the defense played physical last game as it's looking to build depth. The Redskins want to run the ball and their focus will be on that, with an occasional shot from Cousins. If the Redskins secondary can do their part (they were surprisingly good down the stretch) This game will stay UNDER. However 39 for a full game is really low, so my suggested plays would be to tease the Total up 6 points and take 9.5 - 10 points with the the Jets. Why? Geno Smith is hungry to lock up the backup job and will get it done, running if he needs to. TEASER: JETS +9.5 & UNDER 45
MIA @ DAL
-This game just has all the feelings of a shootout to me. Gase will not put up with a stagnant offense, everyone's job is up for grabs at this point in the season. Arian Foster will see a series or two and the dolphins website has suggested that the first team offense will see extended playing time. Miami will also be rotating defensive lineman to find some good rotational players. Dallas's O-Line will be playing at a Championship level to keep Tony Romo unscathed on his way to a feel good TD early on. Like I mentioned casually last week, Dak Prescott is a Poised QB and certainly showed it. He'll get extended playing time again today and I expect production, even if it's not at the same level of efficiency as last week. OVER 41 here
ARI @ SD
-Another game that has the feel of a shootout. Both offenses looking to flex against injury-depleted or non-tackling defenses. The first team offenses could produce upwards towards 20+ points today. What worries me is the Chargers desire to run the ball and the potential complete game-manager style of play we should see from Matt Barkley and Jake Coker as they battle it out for the 3 spot on the Cards Roster. I do like the Mike Bercovici narrative, playing effectively at ASU, the Cardinals fans should support him as well. I think SD needs this win as a feel-good for their fan base. SD -1.
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