Parlay $125 to win $4350

Houston +9.5

San Francisco -10 and under 50

Detroit ML

Kansas City +2.5 and over 46.5

I am confident Bucs will win and detroit will lose

GL 

San Francisco has not covered a home game since early October against Dallas. (5 straight losses at home ATS). I took SF -10. Green Bay run defense is not so special.

Green Bay has played in 6 straight overs on the road. I took the under 50. Weather forecast calls for sloppy conditions as well.

KC has played in 4 consecutive unders and now faces an injured Bills defense especially in the middle. Go opposite and take the over. At the very least, Josh Allen is good for 21-24 points at home. 

Bills on 6 straight wins and are playing on an unsustainable level. Time for regression against a better defense and coach. KC wins by a field goal but I took the +2.5.

Houston +9.5. Baltimore will be rusty and have won 6 straight with Lamar if you exclude resting their players against Pitt in week 18. Go opposite. I think it will be close because Houston has a defense and they are not the same team that Baltimore met in week 1. Gonna be cold and windy. The under is a good recommendation but I think Stroud and this offense has too much talent to be receiving +9.5. Baltimore wins by 7 or less but Houston covers. 

Detroit ML - Despite TB's solid run defense, Gibbs and Montogomery will do just enough to aid Detroit in another close win. TB does not run the ball really well either and they will not against another good run defense in Detroit. This will be won through the air and Goff has more weapons. TB is on 4 straight unders. The over is also a good play.

I'm with ya on most, the one I'm not is KC, well not yet anyway, gotta see who the bills get back on d before I play this game. Milano white Philips all out forsure but the 4 questionable ones Johnson, Dodson, Bernard and benford, if 3 of them are back bills win and cover.

@leafs1789

I am going to fade KC next week when they play at Baltimore for the AFC Championship. Baltimore will struggle with rust this game and pull it out in the end against Houston. KC will be coming into that game next week with 4 straight wins against the spread if they beat Buffalo and the spread will probably be Baltimore -3 or -3.5. Baltimore will cover and go to the Superbowl and lose to SF in a revenge game. 

By the way, I just rewatched the Tampa Bay vs. Detroit week 6 game in Tampa. A very telling note that I must say is that Detroit has much more speed than Tampa, especially their wide outs and keep in mind that the first time they met, the game was on grass. Now it will be on synthetic turf. The Detroit wide receivers got better separation against the Tampa secondary than Tampa's wide outs did against the Detroit secondary. For some reason Tampa's wide receivers (Goodwin and Evans) remind me of the Chargers wide outs (Keenan Allen and Mike Williams). They are good receivers but lack shiftiness and speed. Godwin is a bit more speedy than Evans though. The difference in this game to me is team speed. Detroit has it and Tampa does not. Also, Gibbs did not play at RB for Detroit in the first game. Tampa stopped the run in the first game but Goff was picking the secondary apart. I do not see what changed from that game to now. Same game plan this go around will do however, I definitely see this hitting over 50 points total.

@jasondemz

 BOL 

@DefenseWinsSB

 I agree 

every once in awhile u can hit a parlay but to do it a lot will kill your bankroll

won a 4 Teamer last wknd

and then put $200 on a ML Tennis 7 team parlay- went 6-1, LOSS

they are tempting but will crush your bankroll!

5 out of the 6 games in the wildcard round were not close with 3 underdogs winning outright. The Lions/Rams game was the only game that was close.

I believe this round we will not have as many blowouts.