Posted:
#1
This is an interesting game tonite for a variety of reasons. Let's look at some numbers:
Tenn 13 29 16 21 20 7
-4 Pitt 28 25 27 24 16 16
Pitt opens up as a 4 pt fav currenttly 3. Ten is better in rushing off at 13 vs 28 rushing def at 16 vs 27 , passing def at 21 vs 24 and sched strength at 7 vs 16. Pitt is only better in Off passing at 25 vs 29 and sagarin rank at 16 vs 20.
On paper Tenn would appear to be the pick, however, when you have this scenario with an opening line of 4 pts for the home team, the home team often covers these situations. My plays:
1. Pitt -3
2. Small Parlay Pitt -3 to under 37 pays 2.645 to 1.
Good luck all.
3
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