Play I bet for Thursday

For the following jotted down notes reasons I made my bet already for Thursday night as NY Jets -1.5, I know short favs at home are dangerous and I could have gotten jets ML -105/110 yesterday but after doing my game research I bet them -1.5 before/if the number gets to -2.5/-3/-3.5 which is where I think the line should be.

Feel free to critique any of these points:

Quinnen Williams their best defensive player and Lamarcus Joyner will likely be back

Rain all game, jets have better defense and better rushing defense

Jaguars just lost their best o -lineman and most key oline position at LT

2 other starting o-lineman are banged up and questionable

2 starting D-lineman including Travon Walker already ruled out for jaguars

James Robinson revenge game if he plays and knight is out; Michael Carter and Ty Johnson more than enough to run all over jags

Trevor Lawrence toe injury and questionable in a game he will need his feet to plant in the rain

Jets coming off 3 losses

Jaguars coming off a crazy comeback win vs the cowboys that everyone saw

Jaguars can still win division if they beat Texans next week and titans in final week, because titans will lose to Dallas next week or maybe even texans this week

Zach Wilson just bought his entire o-line electric scooters

Jets are missing 2 backup WRs but expect Corey Davis back to go with Garrett Wilson & Elijah Moore (passing game won’t matter much or be deciding factor in the rain)

Typical Short Thursday week game, jags riding high off a win and banged up all over; jets desperately need a win

= smash spot for the J-E-T-S jetsjetsjets

Hope y’all enjoyed the jumbled down notes. Go Jets (no I’m not a Jets fan)

Unless of course zach wilson has multiple turnovers...

definitely possible and of course that’s a scenario for jets to lose, but Saleh will pound the jaguars in trenches on both sides of the ball. I don’t think Zach will be asked to do much tomorrow night. 

@GTRandy

 Electric scooters!!! Lock up that W

Jax hasn't won a road game in ten years when the temp is below 50.  

@GTRandy

 False on the winning the division point!! If the lose to the jets , they would need Tennessee to Lose both games before they play not just 1 , if the jags lose they are finished 

GL @GTRandy

Nice write up by the way

Feliz Navidad 

That’s false Brodie; jaguars just need to match the titans record for the next 2 weeks. If titans beat both dallas and houston and jaguars lose to jets tonight then yeah the jags are done. But now without tannehill it’s highly unlikely they beat both Texans and cowboys. I’m actually smelling an upset this week vs Texans… could be way wrong on that of course, but would think the cowboys handle them next week and jaguars handle their business with extra rest vs Texans. 

@Jdp2598

 I don’t think that’s right. To be honest I have trouble deciphering these playoff scenarios. But I don’t think Jax is out if they lose. 

They are favored -150 to win the division as well and Tenn is +110

all jags need to do is match the titans record for the next 2 weeks and the week 18 matchup is for the afc south. (7-10 or more likely 8-9 record will win the afc south) 

@GTRandy

 nice write up and smack it with the under best of luck to all ! 

jets ml with the under it is