Yep! Last week was a bad one as I went 0-3 losing 5.5nunits on the day and for the first time this year find myself living in the red going into week eight.
Posted covers record 2019 (17-17-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.1 units
So I move on and play who I like this week and here they are all for 1 unit
Detroit -6.5 (Not sold on these giants...They suck!)
Denver +5.5 (This game goes down to the wire)
49er's -6 (Too hot to handle for the panthers with this winning streak being home....It's a cover here)
6 Point teaser:
Bills +3.5 (I'll bite Buff playing another $uck @ss team)
Jacksonville -.5 at home (Ain't going to rebound from the shut out and cover yet alone win here...Don't be fooled)
Good luck this week players whomever and whatever you may decide to play this week eight.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Yep! Last week was a bad one as I went 0-3 losing 5.5nunits on the day and for the first time this year find myself living in the red going into week eight.
Posted covers record 2019 (17-17-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.1 units
So I move on and play who I like this week and here they are all for 1 unit
Detroit -6.5 (Not sold on these giants...They suck!)
Denver +5.5 (This game goes down to the wire)
49er's -6 (Too hot to handle for the panthers with this winning streak being home....It's a cover here)
6 Point teaser:
Bills +3.5 (I'll bite Buff playing another $uck @ss team)
Jacksonville -.5 at home (Ain't going to rebound from the shut out and cover yet alone win here...Don't be fooled)
Good luck this week players whomever and whatever you may decide to play this week eight.
why are you teasing down favorites and past zero? There's no value for the teaser in itself that way
100% Correct!.....And I know better but fell into it just the same my bad
Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!
Okay with that being said for tonight I am going with the Under 43.5 The Steelers are not the team they were but still know how to beat bad teams with both of their victories coming from the winless Bengals and the hapless Chargers who was given the game yesterday by the Chicago Bears and their Lame A$$ play calling. (Kneeling out downs and playing for the field goal and not trying to get closer...a$$es!) But just the same too much wood for me to lay at 14 so I'm taking a stab at...
Pittsburgh Under 43.5 (1 unit)
Posted covers record 2019 (19-19-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.3 units
Been doing this for 40 years and I've been there and have done it all and as many established handicappers on this site already know it's a grind and money management is key and the challenge of playing and trying to fight the vig and come out a 56% or better for the season is what gives me the satisfaction of entertaining myself thru out the season and to gladly say when it's all said and done that I did better than most likely 90% of the touts and individuals that claim that they have a 65% or better percentage during or after a season and that they can guaranteed a winner of ANY game played in professional sports....No way! Too many variables and tangibles that happen on a weekly basis that makes it virtually impossible to consistently have a winning percentage year in and year out and if you can then please drop your username as I'll be tailing you.
Enjoy the game tonight handicappers and good luck to you whomever or whatever you decide to play tonight.
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Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:
why are you teasing down favorites and past zero? There's no value for the teaser in itself that way
100% Correct!.....And I know better but fell into it just the same my bad
Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!
Okay with that being said for tonight I am going with the Under 43.5 The Steelers are not the team they were but still know how to beat bad teams with both of their victories coming from the winless Bengals and the hapless Chargers who was given the game yesterday by the Chicago Bears and their Lame A$$ play calling. (Kneeling out downs and playing for the field goal and not trying to get closer...a$$es!) But just the same too much wood for me to lay at 14 so I'm taking a stab at...
Pittsburgh Under 43.5 (1 unit)
Posted covers record 2019 (19-19-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.3 units
Been doing this for 40 years and I've been there and have done it all and as many established handicappers on this site already know it's a grind and money management is key and the challenge of playing and trying to fight the vig and come out a 56% or better for the season is what gives me the satisfaction of entertaining myself thru out the season and to gladly say when it's all said and done that I did better than most likely 90% of the touts and individuals that claim that they have a 65% or better percentage during or after a season and that they can guaranteed a winner of ANY game played in professional sports....No way! Too many variables and tangibles that happen on a weekly basis that makes it virtually impossible to consistently have a winning percentage year in and year out and if you can then please drop your username as I'll be tailing you.
Enjoy the game tonight handicappers and good luck to you whomever or whatever you decide to play tonight.
Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!
This is very well written and I agree. Very nice statement.
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Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!
This is very well written and I agree. Very nice statement.
Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!This is very well written and I agree. Very nice statement.
picking 65% winners is easy for me. 80% is what I call a challenge for an entire season. MM is what is tough for me
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Quote Originally Posted by supertiger:
Lost some juice on the day and I'm NOT happy about that but hey I started my season as I always do with 20 units and if I proceed to lose or come close to losing it all I'm Done! (That is discipline and self control that I know many on this forum do NOT have) It's NOT a dig it's just truth and that's what hurts many of players especially the young ones who bet on one game sometimes more than they make in a week and since they have the credit they chase and destroy many of things that they worked hard for so please stop thinking that this gambling $hit is a cake walk.....It's Not!This is very well written and I agree. Very nice statement.
picking 65% winners is easy for me. 80% is what I call a challenge for an entire season. MM is what is tough for me
Yep! Last week was a bad one as I went 0-3 losing 5.5nunits on the day and for the first time this year find myself living in the red going into week eight.Posted covers record 2019 (17-17-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.1 unitsSo I move on and play who I like this week and here they are all for 1 unitDetroit -6.5 (Not sold on these giants...They suck!)Denver +5.5 (This game goes down to the wire)49er's -6 (Too hot to handle for the panthers with this winning streak being home....It's a cover here)6 Point teaser:Bills +3.5 (I'll bite Buff playing another $uck @ss team)Jacksonville -.5 at home (Ain't going to rebound from the shut out and cover yet alone win here...Don't be fooled)Good luck this week players whomever and whatever you may decide to play this week eight.
the play for the teaser was eagles because bills never blow anyone out. It's very rare. Capped as a lock I Removed play from over thinking then put back on knowing if bills won it wouldn't be by more than 7. There was other angles backing eagles as well. I know i posted bills ats here it was my only loss and I hate to say it but an accident. I over thought it as I originally had eagles as one of my best picks.
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Quote Originally Posted by justliketoplay:
Yep! Last week was a bad one as I went 0-3 losing 5.5nunits on the day and for the first time this year find myself living in the red going into week eight.Posted covers record 2019 (17-17-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at - 2.1 unitsSo I move on and play who I like this week and here they are all for 1 unitDetroit -6.5 (Not sold on these giants...They suck!)Denver +5.5 (This game goes down to the wire)49er's -6 (Too hot to handle for the panthers with this winning streak being home....It's a cover here)6 Point teaser:Bills +3.5 (I'll bite Buff playing another $uck @ss team)Jacksonville -.5 at home (Ain't going to rebound from the shut out and cover yet alone win here...Don't be fooled)Good luck this week players whomever and whatever you may decide to play this week eight.
the play for the teaser was eagles because bills never blow anyone out. It's very rare. Capped as a lock I Removed play from over thinking then put back on knowing if bills won it wouldn't be by more than 7. There was other angles backing eagles as well. I know i posted bills ats here it was my only loss and I hate to say it but an accident. I over thought it as I originally had eagles as one of my best picks.
PS I picked the over tonight it's not official play right now but it's my pick. My picks or initial leans hit around 65%. That's why I say it's easy as I hit that without doing any capping at all. When I cap it's normally for parlays and teasers and my goal is a 100% win rate. Then I convert those high 90+% winning plays to ATS and sometimes it carries over as I put a lot of capping in. As you'll see in my thread I will be at 70% by the end of the season. I was over 90% ATS (as i was strictly following my system) through week 5 or 6 I believe it was then I hit a losing streak (as i got careless) so the key to going 70% or higher over a season is to eliminate the carelessness. Oh and have a system that works that you can follow. I hate to use the word system this is more of a capping method I follow.
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PS I picked the over tonight it's not official play right now but it's my pick. My picks or initial leans hit around 65%. That's why I say it's easy as I hit that without doing any capping at all. When I cap it's normally for parlays and teasers and my goal is a 100% win rate. Then I convert those high 90+% winning plays to ATS and sometimes it carries over as I put a lot of capping in. As you'll see in my thread I will be at 70% by the end of the season. I was over 90% ATS (as i was strictly following my system) through week 5 or 6 I believe it was then I hit a losing streak (as i got careless) so the key to going 70% or higher over a season is to eliminate the carelessness. Oh and have a system that works that you can follow. I hate to use the word system this is more of a capping method I follow.
Discipline is what I need. Oklahoma was 24 Point favorites over K-State and lost. That messed me up I had Minnesota Rams Patriots and Oklahoma in a 4-team parlay. And should have stayed away from the Buffalo game
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Discipline is what I need. Oklahoma was 24 Point favorites over K-State and lost. That messed me up I had Minnesota Rams Patriots and Oklahoma in a 4-team parlay. And should have stayed away from the Buffalo game
Posted covers record 2019 (20-19-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at -1.3 units
Nice to have my analysis of the game as I posted on post #5 to be right on the money as the under did win and the too much wood with Pittsburgh laying fourteen turned out to be oh so true in the end as well.
Until week nine players....Stay discipline, keep handicapping and never ever bet above and beyond what you can truly afford to lose in a weeks worth of action.....Gambling can and will destroy you if you let it.
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Posted covers record 2019 (20-19-1 Top plays 3-2 bankroll stands at -1.3 units
Nice to have my analysis of the game as I posted on post #5 to be right on the money as the under did win and the too much wood with Pittsburgh laying fourteen turned out to be oh so true in the end as well.
Until week nine players....Stay discipline, keep handicapping and never ever bet above and beyond what you can truly afford to lose in a weeks worth of action.....Gambling can and will destroy you if you let it.
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