Not the point of this thread but neither of these teams in their collective form have ever faced off. Thus we have no real stats and at 3 points and early season coin flip where you'd be within your right to back either side. However, just remember the coin flip mantra "teams that win cover" if you like the Ravens. BOL gents glad to have the single serving fam back.
Not the point of this thread but neither of these teams in their collective form have ever faced off. Thus we have no real stats and at 3 points and early season coin flip where you'd be within your right to back either side. However, just remember the coin flip mantra "teams that win cover" if you like the Ravens. BOL gents glad to have the single serving fam back.
Working out the kinks, I made a couple of mistakes. The entered my bets in earlier in the day and posted different plays on accident. The way it was posted, we will officially take an 0-3 (-1.1 units). Also, I halved a unit so it was 1.1 units to win 2.09 vs. 3.79. My bad on those.
However, in the spirit of this experiment the actual bets placed were (Mahomes / Jackson O1.5 TD .5 @ +225 = loss)(Mahomes O259 / Jackson O218.5 .5 @ +190 = win) and (Mahomes Over 2.5 TD / O289.5 .1 @ +375 = loss). Post bet assessment = We did quite a bit better with the passing yards and once the model has stats we'll dial it in to get a little more aggressive. Not upset about the TD as we were knocking on the door both with Kelce getting dropped inside the five and of course the toe tap at the end.
As for tonight:
Hurts Over 240.5 pass yards + Love Over 256.5 pass yards. .5 @ +220
Hurts + Love Over 1.5 passing TD .5 @ +200
Love Over 279.5 passing yards + Love O2.5 Passing TD + Hurts O2.5 Passing TD .1 @ +1800
Working out the kinks, I made a couple of mistakes. The entered my bets in earlier in the day and posted different plays on accident. The way it was posted, we will officially take an 0-3 (-1.1 units). Also, I halved a unit so it was 1.1 units to win 2.09 vs. 3.79. My bad on those.
However, in the spirit of this experiment the actual bets placed were (Mahomes / Jackson O1.5 TD .5 @ +225 = loss)(Mahomes O259 / Jackson O218.5 .5 @ +190 = win) and (Mahomes Over 2.5 TD / O289.5 .1 @ +375 = loss). Post bet assessment = We did quite a bit better with the passing yards and once the model has stats we'll dial it in to get a little more aggressive. Not upset about the TD as we were knocking on the door both with Kelce getting dropped inside the five and of course the toe tap at the end.
As for tonight:
Hurts Over 240.5 pass yards + Love Over 256.5 pass yards. .5 @ +220
Hurts + Love Over 1.5 passing TD .5 @ +200
Love Over 279.5 passing yards + Love O2.5 Passing TD + Hurts O2.5 Passing TD .1 @ +1800
Taking a beating on the record which is currently at 2-12 (OUCH). However, only down -1.45 units which is not terrible considering the crap start. Tonight going with:
Allen Over 249.5 passing yards and Tua Over 289.5 passing yards. .5 unit @ +350
Allen Over 1.5 passing TD and Tua Over 1.5 passing TD. .5 unit @ +195
Allen Over 249.5 passing yard + Tua Over 269.5 passing Yards + Allen over 1.5 passing TD + Tua over 1.5 passing TD. .5 unit @ +575
Allen Over 289.5 passing yard + Tua Over 309.5 passing Yards + Allen over 2.5 passing TD + Tua over 2.5 passing TD. .1 unit @ +3500
Little bit of an overlap as I am hoping for some offense. Again, no stat model data until 3 full weeks so much of the benchmarks remain a but of guesswork at this point. BOL whatever bets you make tonight, should be a good game.
Taking a beating on the record which is currently at 2-12 (OUCH). However, only down -1.45 units which is not terrible considering the crap start. Tonight going with:
Allen Over 249.5 passing yards and Tua Over 289.5 passing yards. .5 unit @ +350
Allen Over 1.5 passing TD and Tua Over 1.5 passing TD. .5 unit @ +195
Allen Over 249.5 passing yard + Tua Over 269.5 passing Yards + Allen over 1.5 passing TD + Tua over 1.5 passing TD. .5 unit @ +575
Allen Over 289.5 passing yard + Tua Over 309.5 passing Yards + Allen over 2.5 passing TD + Tua over 2.5 passing TD. .1 unit @ +3500
Little bit of an overlap as I am hoping for some offense. Again, no stat model data until 3 full weeks so much of the benchmarks remain a but of guesswork at this point. BOL whatever bets you make tonight, should be a good game.
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