Question on Betting Sacks

Question

Hey guys, I&#x27;m new to the forums and so far I&#x27;m excited seeing so many nfl bettors / advisors - crazy amounts compared to Central (more like Eastern-ish) Europe. Anyway, I have a question for more experienced guys, than I am (which at this point, I believe, would be everyone on this forum).I made a bet on UNDER in this Cards-Rams game and put a total sacks over 5.5 side-bet along with it. Now here&#x27;s my question, since there were only three sacks and I analyze the hell out of my KO bets, how bad of a bet was it?Now when everything is said and done, it seems crystal clear Cards would go in with the gameplan of getting rid of the ball quickly and rather have little to no gain, than to lose yardage - because hey, they have a good defense to back them up in case they have to punt. So my questions are:1) is it a bad idea to go with these side-bets on heavily defensive (from both teams) games? From your experience, are there lack of sacks in games that are expected to be a grind?2) does it even make sense to combo UNDER with this? it&#x27;s kinda similar bet after all - you trust the D (no pun intended)Thank you for your input.

Kebabking · Answer

Hey guys, I&#x27;m new to the forums and so far I&#x27;m excited seeing so many nfl bettors / advisors - crazy amounts compared to Central (more like Eastern-ish) Europe. Anyway, I have a question for more experienced guys, than I am (which at this point, I believe, would be everyone on this forum).I made a bet on UNDER in this Cards-Rams game and put a total sacks over 5.5 side-bet along with it. Now here&#x27;s my question, since there were only three sacks and I analyze the hell out of my KO bets, how bad of a bet was it?Now when everything is said and done, it seems crystal clear Cards would go in with the gameplan of getting rid of the ball quickly and rather have little to no gain, than to lose yardage - because hey, they have a good defense to back them up in case they have to punt. So my questions are:1) is it a bad idea to go with these side-bets on heavily defensive (from both teams) games? From your experience, are there lack of sacks in games that are expected to be a grind?2) does it even make sense to combo UNDER with this? it&#x27;s kinda similar bet after all - you trust the D (no pun intended)Thank you for your input.

RonBurgundy808 · Answer

Betting ou on sacks is a crapshoot. If they intentionally ground it doesnt count as a sack. This sucks imo. Its hard to tell if the oline will show up or fold. Same goes with the dline. Id go over on sacks for the niners vs seahawks game sunday just cuz i feel both tes will pressure each others qbs a lot but watch, game will probably get only 2 sacks all game

Kebabking · Answer

Best to stay away from it then. Thanks for your input.

theclaw · Answer

Yea you are inexperienced and making alot of rookie mistakes.

You made a bet without knowing whether there are alot of sacks in games ?

Your asking that question after the game ?

You should of ask it before the game then went and did your homework then decided if you had any value in this particular game.

You made the big mistake of trying to apply your common sense to the bet instead of applying research and actual facts of how games play-out.

Good Luck to you......................................

Kebabking · Answer

Yes, I am inexperienced, thanks for pointing out what I already said in the first post. The 'alot of rookie mistakes' part made me chuckle, though. Not saying you're not right, but you literally judged it from one bet. But I guess it is to be expected that I'm friggin up on regular basis.

I did research regarding how these teams play lately - though I did not look into how defensive grind fests in general work out, that's true. But, among other things, there were 9 sacks in the last meeting. I was asking if it's common at all, that defensive grinds (more importantly, EXPECTED defensive grinds) end up with lack of sacks, or was there the 'both QBs got wasted in that game, lets look into that before rematch' factor. I'm sure it's common sense for you, but I'm not exactly seasoned in the sport, so any pointers would be great...

...or just be arrogant, that works too. I guess I can take 'learn the hard way' as a pointer enough. Thanks none the less and have a wonderful weekend.

ManUtd07 · Answer

it was a fine bet. I bet props every primetime game. As long as you put say 100 on the under and 30-40 on Sacks o4.5 or whatever it was. The idea is to bet more on the standard more likely wagers.

My pick was simple last night. longest FG o44.5 yards 100 to win 80.

Kebabking · Answer

ManUtd07: thank you, it was 50% of my under bet, i was thinking betting props 20-25% of the larget bet next time.

Also my apologies to theclaw, since I provided no info on what kind of research (if any) I did. Didn't mean to sound like an behind, but I clearly overreacted there.

Question on Betting Sacks

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