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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Ravens/Bengals Teaser????

    65076507
    PepeFrog
    jowchoo
    camby700
    BoomDynamite
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    65076507
    65076507
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2022 - 10:52 PM ET #1

    Ravens/Bengals Teaser????  Make them both even.  What you guys think?

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    Ravens/Bengals Teaser????  Make them both even.  What you guys think?

     
    PepeFrog
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2022 - 11:00 PM ET #2

    The super bowl loser is known for losing the spread in Week 1. Bengals should lose the spread to the Steelers. I would tease the Steelers.

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    The super bowl loser is known for losing the spread in Week 1. Bengals should lose the spread to the Steelers. I would tease the Steelers.

     
    jowchoo
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2022 - 12:00 AM ET #3

    @PepeFrog

     I believe fading last years SB winner for the first 3 weeks is a +EV play. Can anyone confirm through their data base?

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    @PepeFrog

     I believe fading last years SB winner for the first 3 weeks is a +EV play. Can anyone confirm through their data base?

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2022 - 1:36 AM ET #4

    I'll be on Pitt as one of my best plays at 1...

    SB loser 4 -18 ATS in week 1 last 22 yrs...

    Pitt getting 7 seems a tad too high...

    Divisional match-up so I'm figuring a close low scoring game....

    Steelers should be run heavy burning clock which bodes well getting g a TD.

    BOL Bro

    peace_5

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    I'll be on Pitt as one of my best plays at 1...

    SB loser 4 -18 ATS in week 1 last 22 yrs...

    Pitt getting 7 seems a tad too high...

    Divisional match-up so I'm figuring a close low scoring game....

    Steelers should be run heavy burning clock which bodes well getting g a TD.

    BOL Bro

    peace_5

     
    BoomDynamite
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2022 - 2:38 AM ET #5

    Why even tease it? Just parlay both on the ML. 

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    Why even tease it? Just parlay both on the ML. 

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2022 - 9:41 AM ET #6

    @jowchoo

     What does "+EV play" mean?  That's some lingo I haven't heard before.

     

    Defending champs are 19-3 SU in week 1... don't know about weeks 2 and 3, or the ATS numbers.

    The Dude imbibes
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    @jowchoo

     What does "+EV play" mean?  That's some lingo I haven't heard before.

     

    Defending champs are 19-3 SU in week 1... don't know about weeks 2 and 3, or the ATS numbers.

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2022 - 9:42 AM ET #7

    Bengals are going to be a disappointment this year. Don't have much opinion on this week 1 game, though... but as others have pointed out, SB losers usually fall on their face in week 1.

    The Dude imbibes
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    Bengals are going to be a disappointment this year. Don't have much opinion on this week 1 game, though... but as others have pointed out, SB losers usually fall on their face in week 1.

     
    getem9
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2022 - 3:39 PM ET #8

    @Duderonomy

     

    Expected Value.... plus EV implies your wager has a greater than 50% statistical probability of covering / winning.  

    You are calculating the value of the odds / likelihood of a cover or win based on the actual odds and vig.  

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    @Duderonomy

     

    Expected Value.... plus EV implies your wager has a greater than 50% statistical probability of covering / winning.  

    You are calculating the value of the odds / likelihood of a cover or win based on the actual odds and vig.  

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2022 - 5:44 PM ET #9

    @getem9

    Cool... understand the concept, but never saw that lazy notation before. A little hard to believe the SB winner is a losing proposition over the first 3 weeks, given that they are 19-3 SU in week 1... but I guess it's possible.

    The Dude imbibes
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    @getem9

    Cool... understand the concept, but never saw that lazy notation before. A little hard to believe the SB winner is a losing proposition over the first 3 weeks, given that they are 19-3 SU in week 1... but I guess it's possible.

     
    getem9
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2022 - 2:55 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

    @getem9 Cool... understand the concept, but never saw that lazy notation before. A little hard to believe the SB winner is a losing proposition over the first 3 weeks, given that they are 19-3 SU in week 1... but I guess it's possible.

    Yes, I didn't run the numbers but I understand what you're saying peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

    @getem9 Cool... understand the concept, but never saw that lazy notation before. A little hard to believe the SB winner is a losing proposition over the first 3 weeks, given that they are 19-3 SU in week 1... but I guess it's possible.

    Yes, I didn't run the numbers but I understand what you're saying peace_5

     
     
    getem9
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2022 - 2:57 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by 65076507:

    Ravens/Bengals Teaser????  Make them both even.  What you guys think?

    Ravens / Steelers teaser peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by 65076507:

    Ravens/Bengals Teaser????  Make them both even.  What you guys think?

    Ravens / Steelers teaser peace_5

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