First time back in some years...
HOU/KC UNDER 41.5 
A slow start to the Divisional round will be in the cards on Saturday when the Chiefs look to come off their "double-bye" and face the Texans who are limping into the playoffs, even after an impressive win over the Chargers last week.
The Chiefs took Week 18 of the regular season as a rest week, with a 38-0 loss to their division foes, the Broncos. In fact, the drubbing brought their average score of divisional games to 16-19. The Texans, in comparison, have an average season score vs Divisional opponents at 25-22, a net positive of 3 points. Much of this is meaningless now in the playoffs, but with colder weather scheduled for Saturday, I'm slightly penalizing the team that plays their home games in a dome. Mahomes and Co. have their goals set on a sixth straight AFC championship game, starting with what would be the lowest total of Mahomes' playoff career. Andy Reid is 33-11 to the UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or greater since 2011. I think we see a slow grind and another "ugly" win for the Chiefs. LEAN to Texans and the 8.5 pts....but UNDER 41.5 is the main play.
Let's eat this weekend./
Hot Forum Topics
