Not sure where this line will end up but I have to believe it will close at -3. I don’t see a major line move due to Covid on this KC team. Leadership is too strong, too much at stake. Guys are locked in.
Once I simplified this game, the pick became rather easy. I’m not getting into numbers.
Mahomes & Kelce are what Brady and Gronk used to be once upon a time ago, only more explosive with the same level of precision, skill and intellect. Throw in a game wrecker like Tyreek Hill for good measure and a defensive line featuring Chris Jones and Frank Clark who destroy fire hydrant QB’s like Brady. With Sammy Watkins back, the KC offense will be on full display. The Brady mystique won’t win this game. Great story and sub plot for the big game but KC wins this game. I’ve said it all season the Bucs are fraudulent. Shit broke their way in the playoffs, it happens, ain’t getting any breaks next Sunday.
KC - 3 FG (25 units)
KC -7.5 FG (+185 for 10 units)
BOL ALL
7
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Not sure where this line will end up but I have to believe it will close at -3. I don’t see a major line move due to Covid on this KC team. Leadership is too strong, too much at stake. Guys are locked in.
Once I simplified this game, the pick became rather easy. I’m not getting into numbers.
Mahomes & Kelce are what Brady and Gronk used to be once upon a time ago, only more explosive with the same level of precision, skill and intellect. Throw in a game wrecker like Tyreek Hill for good measure and a defensive line featuring Chris Jones and Frank Clark who destroy fire hydrant QB’s like Brady. With Sammy Watkins back, the KC offense will be on full display. The Brady mystique won’t win this game. Great story and sub plot for the big game but KC wins this game. I’ve said it all season the Bucs are fraudulent. Shit broke their way in the playoffs, it happens, ain’t getting any breaks next Sunday.
Agreed on the pick but you either have no idea what “units” means or you’re risking 35 pct of your bankroll on a single football game... so which is it?
0
@ActionMagnet
Agreed on the pick but you either have no idea what “units” means or you’re risking 35 pct of your bankroll on a single football game... so which is it?
I have predictions from my machine learning model. So far this season it has a 87% strike rate on all games and markets ( even when adjusted for variance).
I have to admit coming from a Rugby background I probably lack the insight into the dynamics. However I always remember watching at least the SuperBowl since I was a kid. That being said I know a lot about data science and investment banking quantatative analysis so far it has translated nicely into sports. I personally don't bet but would love to see the realworld application of predictions which invariably has to be sports betting
Looking foward to knowing what you think about them!
Cheers, Chris
0
@ActionMagnet
I have predictions from my machine learning model. So far this season it has a 87% strike rate on all games and markets ( even when adjusted for variance).
I have to admit coming from a Rugby background I probably lack the insight into the dynamics. However I always remember watching at least the SuperBowl since I was a kid. That being said I know a lot about data science and investment banking quantatative analysis so far it has translated nicely into sports. I personally don't bet but would love to see the realworld application of predictions which invariably has to be sports betting
Looking foward to knowing what you think about them!
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