The Chiefs Rushing Offense is terrible. Thru the AFCC game, they are averaging just 3.9 Yards per Rush. That's 31st in the league. Having a poor rushing game makes it harder to develop an effective passing game. That's a big part of why Mahomes Passer Rating is 93.5 this season, an all time low for him. KC has fewer yards on offense than any other season in the Mahomes era. If KC can't run the ball, they'll need to depend on their passing game. The problem with that is the Eagles are #1 against the pass this season. Also, the Chiefs have Offensive Line problems, again. (Remember the SB vs TB?) The Chiefs also have fewer yards passing than they have had any other year with Mahomes.
KC gained 5.1 Yards per Play on Offense this season while they gave up 5.3 YPP on DEF. That leaves a net negative for KC of -.2. It's interesting to note that of the last 44 teams that went to the Super Bowl, none were net negative in YPP. The Chiefs have never been net negative in YPP in the Mahomes era until this season. The closest they came was 2020 when they were 5.9 on offense and defense. This the only season out of the last six seasons when they did not go to the Super Bowl.
The Eagles will count on their superstar RB Saquon Barkley, to anchor their offense. Not a bad plan, as Barkley has gained over 2000 yards this season. The KC Rushing Defense has gone from really good early in the season, to really bad in recent weeks. Click the link below to see a graphic showing the week by week performance of the Chiefs Rushing Defense. In their last 5 games, (omit wk 18) the Chiefs have given up 721 Rush Yards on 130 attempts. That is 5.54 YPR. To put that in perspective, only the Ravens gain more rushing yards than KC is giving up right now. The Ravens averaged 5.8 YPR. This looks like trouble vs Saquon Barkley, and the PHI OFF Line.
As a fundamental handicapper, it's impossible to not pick the Eagles in this game. Practically any stat you look at favors PHI. If the Eagles don't make mistakes, they should win this game handily. This game is a top play for me. Eagles money line.
The Chiefs Rushing Offense is terrible. Thru the AFCC game, they are averaging just 3.9 Yards per Rush. That's 31st in the league. Having a poor rushing game makes it harder to develop an effective passing game. That's a big part of why Mahomes Passer Rating is 93.5 this season, an all time low for him. KC has fewer yards on offense than any other season in the Mahomes era. If KC can't run the ball, they'll need to depend on their passing game. The problem with that is the Eagles are #1 against the pass this season. Also, the Chiefs have Offensive Line problems, again. (Remember the SB vs TB?) The Chiefs also have fewer yards passing than they have had any other year with Mahomes.
KC gained 5.1 Yards per Play on Offense this season while they gave up 5.3 YPP on DEF. That leaves a net negative for KC of -.2. It's interesting to note that of the last 44 teams that went to the Super Bowl, none were net negative in YPP. The Chiefs have never been net negative in YPP in the Mahomes era until this season. The closest they came was 2020 when they were 5.9 on offense and defense. This the only season out of the last six seasons when they did not go to the Super Bowl.
The Eagles will count on their superstar RB Saquon Barkley, to anchor their offense. Not a bad plan, as Barkley has gained over 2000 yards this season. The KC Rushing Defense has gone from really good early in the season, to really bad in recent weeks. Click the link below to see a graphic showing the week by week performance of the Chiefs Rushing Defense. In their last 5 games, (omit wk 18) the Chiefs have given up 721 Rush Yards on 130 attempts. That is 5.54 YPR. To put that in perspective, only the Ravens gain more rushing yards than KC is giving up right now. The Ravens averaged 5.8 YPR. This looks like trouble vs Saquon Barkley, and the PHI OFF Line.
As a fundamental handicapper, it's impossible to not pick the Eagles in this game. Practically any stat you look at favors PHI. If the Eagles don't make mistakes, they should win this game handily. This game is a top play for me. Eagles money line.
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