SUPER BOWL "FORMULA"

.....there was a "formula".....if you want to call it that, created by one of the major NFL publications....that was put-out/introduced, about 15-20 years ago.....that had appx. 80-90% success-rate, for about 10 years-or-so.....

.....it had a "questionaire of about 70-or-so things to calculate, with a #-value attached to each....

.....if ANYONE knows/recalls what i'm talking about....

.....could you please post it ???????

....answer in here....preferably, if you can  

I do it the old fashion way...coin flip.

You are referring to the Hank Stram system.

NFL Betting System: A Fool-Proof Super Bowl Betting System
By Ray Monohan

When it comes down to the Super Bowl, often times it’s really hard to come up with a play because the odds makers are so sharp on the line and both teams are really good. In Week 1, Week 7 or Week 14, you can usually circle at least one complete mismatch. In the Super Bowl, both teams have two weeks to prepare and the contest are usually very tight.

But with that in mind, we’ve uncovered a good Super Bowl betting system, which was first created by legendary NFL head coach Hank Stram. Here’s how it works:

The System: This system has a strict formula that values different aspects of the team. It takes into account experience from previous seasons as well as statistics from the current year. When all of the ingredients of the recipe are plugged in, the formula will spit out who is the better team, and that’s the bet.

Use only regular season stats and remember to compare the final number to the spread to decipher which team to bet.

Give 10 points to a team if they have won a Super Bowl in the last three seasons.
Give 8.0 points to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history.
Give 8.0 points to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes.
Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs.
Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season.
Give 5.0 points to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average.
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns.
Give 4.0 points to the team the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season.
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number.
Give 3.5 points to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt.
Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season.
Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns.
Give 3.0 points to the team that has recorded the most sacks.
Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts.
Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year.
Give 1.5 points to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average.
Give 1.0 points to the team with the better completion percentage.

The Logic: Basically what’s happening here is that we’re using a formula that values different aspects of each team, grading them out accordingly and then betting on the team that proves better by the numbers.

As they say, the numbers don’t lie and that’s all we’re really doing in this spot. It’s a 17-step formula but it has a very successful history, so stop racking your brain over the final two weeks of the NFL season and just plug in the numbers.

The Track Record: The record for this Super Bowl system is at 34-11-2 as of Super Bowl XLVIl

.....i believe this is it.....

So based on this, Seattle wins.

that's an outdated system...

and it lost last year

Give 10 points to a team if they have won a Super Bowl in the last three seasons. Push
Give 8.0 points to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history. Push
Give 8.0 points to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes. Denver
Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs. Push
Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season. Seattle
Give 5.0 points to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns. Denver
Give 4.0 points to the team the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number. Denver
Give 3.5 points to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt. Denver
Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season. Seattle
Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns. Seattle
Give 3.0 points to the team that has recorded the most sacks. Seattle
Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts. Seattle
Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year. Seattle
Give 1.5 points to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 1.0 points to the team with the better completion percentage. Denver

From the stats I read it was Denver 20.5/Seattle 36

So when were you ever 34-11-2???????????????????

thanks

 

That system was invented in the eighties and does not work in this era.

It lost last year, and has not done well in recent years.

The reason is, the 1st stat, give 10 points to the team which has won a SB in the past 3 years.

Well, since 1990 that team which won a SB in past 3 years VS a team not winning the SB in past 3 years  is 2-8 ATS.

So basically your giving the most points to teams with a 20% chance to cover the spread.

And the 2cd one giving 8 points does not hold-up either in this era.

So the 2 stats with the most points rewards losers.

Put it worked in the sixties, seventies and eighties, that is when it was taylor made off of those results.

Now, possibly throwing those out maybe it can work.

Basically it identifies the better statistical team if you throw the first 2 stats out,  which this season  is Seattle.

Whether those stats would still work in this era, I don't have a clue.

LMAO

if u want to use that ancient system to cap ur game, go ahead !!

I was just pointing out that its an old system that died with good old hank... Its not as effective with free agency now.

Most of those 'criteria' are pretty common sense, no ?

"Give 3.5 points to team that allowed lowest points in the season"
Seriously, u can't figure out how that affects the capping for ur self ??


BTW since u asked, this year my playoff record is 7-2 (which translates to 35-10 for easier comparison).. and last year was 9-1 (which would be 36-4 in playoff percentage ratio.)

I don't even care about ur record since u obviously have no talent and like to follow trends & systems rather than using ur own head and experience

I am sure one of us is telling stories and as we say in Mexico... el espejo no miente... so it is time for you to look at yourself in the mirror. Are you 12 years old?

Whatever man

u r obviously retarded (that means stupid, ok ?) and/or uneducated.. so i wont waste any more time on u

don't quit ur day job

Stop creating systems. Let the gm scenario and numbers reveal itself.

Fixed it for you again..Denver DID NOT open up as the favorite..