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#1
PATS -2.5 25 UNITS
Heres my take on the game. both teams have favorable matchups with there wr and te going against each others secondaries. cruz manningham and nicks are all good solid recievers who are capable of the big play and giants will take there shot at the big plays in this game. i think the patriots know this and so does the rest of the world. i see the pats playing the same type of defense baltimore did against them last week where you make them throw underneath and take 10-12 plays for a scoring drive and hope they get impatient and manning tries forcing one in there just like brady did twice last week leading to ints. the pats front 7 is playing great ball right now. wilfork is playing better than any defender on either side and is not only clogging the middle against the run but also getting pressure on the qb. pats run defense in there two playoff games have shut down the running game and i see that to continue in this game. mark anderson is getting in just about every play on the edge and forcing the qb to step up right into the big boys in the middle. think this game is going to come down to linebackers in coverage against backs and tightends. i see pats having the advantage here in that matchup simply because of the tight ends for pats are pretty much two wide recievers. you never know where hernandez is going to be on the field. could be in the slot, spread wide, backfield and giants gave up huge plays to vernon davis who is the only guy they really had to worry about in the passing game last week. alex smith completed one pass to a wide reciever. that will not happen this week.
When the pats are on offense i see them doing what they have done for years before this pass happy throw down the field every play offense came in. i see lots of wide reciever screens to welker branch hernandez and screens to the backs green-ellis and woodhead to counter the giants pass rush on brady. this will keep them honest and set up some plays down the seam to gronk and hernandez. also they ran the ball very well last week because balt kept putting in an extra db to help with the pass attack and pats just ran draws right at the smaller defense picking up good chunks at a time. i see the pats taking a page out of what teams try to do to them and keep the ball away from manning and the giants offense because they know there defense dont match up well with them. so they will play more ball control short passes and run a little more. of course they will take there shots downfield when they got chances but i dont see brady forcing anything like last week. not very often tom has two bad games in a row and i think he has a big game here throwing for over 300 and 3 scores. gronk will play so dont want to hear about his injury they will just shoot him up if they have too just like a million other players have done to get through a game. final PATS 31 GIANTS 24 GOOD LUCK GUYS AND ENJOY SHOULD BE FUN GAME TO WATCH 
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