Posted:
#1
It is unusual to see a team turning the ball over as many times as Pittsburgh did last week but it happens from time to time. Teams that forced 5 or more turnovers in week 1 and won by min 7 and max 37 points as home favorites are 1-11 SU and 1-11 ATS in week 2. Last season NYG forced 6 turnovers against Carolina in week 1 and then went to Indianapolis and lost by 24. My play here is Tennessee +6.
Teams that won by 24 or more as underdogs the previous week are a very good fade in weeks 2-5 if they are not favored by 12 or more. That is sespecially true in week 2 when these teams are winless both SU and ATS (0-6, 0-6). I have already heard some people promoting Buffalo into a divisional champ. Some people just love to speak too soo. My play here is Oakland +4.
Teams that lost by 28-36 points as home favorites of 8 points or less are 11-0 ATS as dogs of more than 4 points the following week. Many already crowned KC as the worst team in the NFL, and once again I believe that people are overreacting. They are not good, but they should not be such a big dog against Detroit either. My final play this week is KC +9.
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