Home favorites of 3.5 to 5.5 pts against divisional opponents are 1-20 ATS before a home dog game. They are also just 4-17 straight up in this horrible situation. The 49ers are favored by 5.5 pts at home against their divisional rival Seattle Seahawks and next week they host Dallas in a game where they will definately be a home dog.
Divisional road dogs before another road dog game are 84-51 ATS against teams that will also be dogs the following week. And is the opponent is going to be a home dog next week, the road dogs are 10-1-1 ATS in last 12. Seattle is a road dog in SF this week, they will be a road dog in Pittsburgh next week and SF will be a home dog against Dallas next week.
Revenge game for Seattle and Seattle won and covered last 3 revenge games against SF, once as a road dog. This game should be decided by no more than 4 pts. By the way, the dog is 5-0 SU in last 5 when dog is covering the line in this series.
My system play of the week is Seattle +5.5 (3 units)
Teams that had 13 wins the previous season are 0-10 ats as home favorites of -4 to -6 pts in first two weeks of the season.
At the same time, 6 wins teams as road dogs of 4.5 to 6.5 pts in first two weeks of the season are 13-1 ATS in last 14 and won all 5 games straight up since 2002.
My system play is Dallas +5.5 (1 unit)
Teams that had 10 wins the previous season are 3-11-1 ats as road favorites of -3 to -6.5 pts in first two weeks of the season.
Teams that had 7 wins the previous season are 14-6 ats as home favorites of 2 pts or more in first two weeks of the season. (7-2 ATS in week 1).
My system play is Saint Louis +4 (1 unit)
Teams trying to revenge an OT loss are 13-1-1 ATS in week 1.
My system play is: Buffalo +6 (1 unit)
In week 1, dogs that are revenging at least two losses are 60-38 ATS and if their line is from +3 to +11.5 they are 56-30 ATS.
My system plays are: Miami +7 and Washingon +3 (half unit each)