It just seems perfect. It fades the public. It fades the experts, and in an essence, that's how its done.
I can understand why you would pick the Ravens. They have been playing great and are riding high off of some great wins against the class of the AFC. They have a great defense, a great running game and as far as experience goes, they have the advantage.
I'm fading the Ravens because the teams they played in the playoffs haven't really been challenged this year. New England is a great team, but they have obviously been on the decline. Not to mention, they better go 12-4 with that offense while playing the Jets, Phins, and Bills twice a year. Their pass d is horrific and we saw that against the Ravens.
The Broncos ended the season great winning 11 straight. 5 of them were against their own division, 3 against NFC South teams not named Atlanta, and Cincinnati, Cleveland, and the Ravens(The only win they had that was really worth a damn)
The Ravens beating them both is great, but the NFC is better. The 49ers would have demolished the Pats had that game been in San Francisco.
The first area where the 49ers might be outmatched is by the Ravens passing game, but Flacco is not Aaron Rodgers or Matt Ryan, and Boldin/Smith do not play with the physicality of Jones/White/Gonzales, or the cohesion of the Packers receiving core(Or Atlanta's).
The second is by the experience of the Ravens defense. They played some high power offenses these playoffs, but how many times have they played a dual threat qb?
Ill tell you. Twice. At Philly, and at Washington.
How many times have they played Kaepernick? Never. How much game film? Limited. You can't say that with Brady or Manning. Did you see what happened with Cam and RGIII when no one knew just how they would be entering the NFL? Defenses were absolutely blindsided.
The Ravens experience doesn't mean anything if they cannot collectively plan for something.
And the 49ers defense played the Ravens last year. They lost, but they held them to 16 points, not to mention that the 49ers assumed the role of a top tier team in the NFL AFTER that game.
So there is my take on it. Four points just seems like the perfect line to get everybody to jump on the Ravens. The game has an OBVIOUSLY high chance of being close, but everybody and their mom can put 2+2 together with the reasoning of the Ravens defensive experience + Kaepernicks inexperience.
The 49ers have seen it all. The Ravens beat overrated, albeit great teams on the downfall, and are now facing a great team that is STILL on the rise.
Randy Moss -4 and the Under
49ers 24 ravens 14
Tail or Fade, those are my picks.
OUfanAP12 - Good luck everyone