TAMPA/GREEN BAY WIINER..JUST READ THE LINE...IT TELLS YOU EVEYTHING

LINE WENT FOR 4.5 to -3 GREEN BAY...ALL THE MONEY PILING ON GREEN BAY..BETTERS ARE EXPECTING A “ REVENGE “ GAME...THE HOTTEST TEAM IM THE PLAYOFFS WHO ARE FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS IS TAMPA .....PEOPLE DONT REALIZE  THAT BRADY PLAYS ALOT BETTER IN COLDER WEATHER ..TAMPA HAS THE BETTER DEFENSE PLAYERS AND THE BETTER RUNNING BACK GAME...PLUS TAMPA HAS THE NUMBER 1 RUN DEFENSE ...I HONESTLY LIKE BRADY WINNING OUTRIGHT AND GOING TO THE SUPERBOWL AS THE FIRST TEAM EVER TO REACH A SUPERBOWL IN THERE OWN STADIUM ...GIVE ME THE HOTTEST TEAM IN THE PLAYOFFS RIGHT NOW .....(SIDE NOTE PUBLIC MONEY IN GREEN BAY ) I EXPECT VEGAS TO WIN AGAIN ..TAMPA IS THE PICK IN MY HUMBLE OPINION 

TAMPA ML

TAMPA +4

Go bucs

If the line opened at GB -4.5 and dropped a point to GB -3.5, doesnt that mean the public is playing Tampa?  

Tampa beat GB on October 18th this year, that is a lifetime ago in the NFL, different team now as GB is peaking at the right time.  Is Tampa Peaking?   with 4 TO last game I certainly hope so.  NO gave that game to TB.   Yes, Brady wil not be effected by the cold as he played in it in New England but what about the rest of the team?    GB destroyed the #1 defense in the NFL,  Tampa up next.  We shall see.......  My Money will be on GB.    GL 

Bettors**

A lot**

Their**

Line movement indicates the exact opposite of the point you are trying to make. Money coming in on Tampa is forcing the line down.

SO MANY FAILS IN ONE POST. At least you got the winner right. 

@KeyMaster

 They used to say Bucs can't win in the cold, until they did in 2002 on their way to the SB. That set off an era of dominating up north.

To be fair, that was a different group of players - though I wonder if that history, combined with Brady, won't fire them up (pun half-intended) for the challenge.

Tampa Bay does not have better running backs.

Please stop giving out false information.

@KeyMaster

 Aaron Donald didn’t play though. Just saying. Gl bro with your play. 

One thing I can conclude from your thread is that you have no idea about how line moves should be interpreted lol. 

I could leave the post here, but I want you to be iluminated. 

If GB  goes from -4.5 to -3 the only thing that you need to know is: THE BOOKS ARE LURING BETTORS TO PUT MONEY ON GB. This can be due to different factors: 

i) More money came in on Tampa

ii) Bettors that they have profiled as "sharp" (historical winning bettors is the accurate term) have been pounding Tampa. 

iii) They realized they made some sort of error, and now think that -3 is the point of equilibrium. 

**Notice how none of the above is "public is betting GB". That could fit only on criterium i) and that is not the case. 

Bye and you are very welcome 

@Mountandume

 you should learn about how spreads move and then maybe your post wouldn't sound so ignorant.

If everyone is piling on Green Bay, then the spread would go UP, not down.

but sharps have jumped on Tampa Bay, which is why the spread has moved down.

Goofy kid.

You definitely hitting the pipe! Stop trying to analyze football, most of y’all have no idea wtf y’all talking about. Go ahead place ur $$ on the Bucs u will lose. 
Bucs beat a bad Washington team, Brees sucked last week. Now all of a sudden Bucs are the hottest team. 

lol lol 

I hear ya..GB rolls

@Mountandume

 Agree with some of your comments, but at the same time I disagree that Tampa has a better running game. Aaron Jones is certainly the best running back that will be on the field in this game, carrying for a ridiculous 5.5 ypc. Tampa has the better defense, but still think Aaron will put a dent in their run defense. On top of that, Green Bay has the best wide receiver on the planet bar none and it's not even really close this year. Best of luck to you.

Vegas - GB opened at -3.5 not -4.5 and has not moved 

KC opened at -2.5 moved to -3

@gutinstinctus

 you actually went pretty light on him...but also educated him at the same time.  I feel the majority of posters have no interest in learning anything, they just want someone to tell them who to pick and don't care WHY.  Then of course cry about it when they lose.   

The line opened at -3, not -4.5

How is Tampa the hotter team, when GB has won 8 in a row?

Maybe, Tom Brady plays well in cold weather, but Tampa teams dont....might want to check out Tampa record in weather below freezing

Tampa's run defense the last half of the season was outside the Top 10....

GB just put up 500yds on the #1 overall defense