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Long time, no posts. I feel confident about these three games today. May be good fade material, but we will see:
Carolina +3 @ Baltimore
I just don't think Baltimore is "playoff good", and Carolina has something to prove coming off a huge loss. Baltimore was lucky to escape Cleveland last week with a win, and now have a non-conference foe coming in, which I think they won't be as motivated for with a game @ Indy and Andrew Luck on deck. You also look at the common opponent, Pittsburgh, which thrashed Carolina, but got crushed at Baltimore, and that gives the public a hard on for Baltimore. I like fading the average Joe reasoning, so give me Carolina and the points in a low scoring game.
Green Bay -2 @ Chicago
Green Bay has faced three of the toughest front-sevens in the NFL so far in Seattle, New York Jets, and Detroit. They essentially have been one dimensional so far because of that, but I expect a huge game for Lacy that the Packers will establish early, and then open up the aerial attack for Rodgers. The Bears are lucky to be 2-1, as I think San Fran gave that game away. Regardless, the public is over-valuing the Bears right now, and seems to have written off Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. I think this one comes down to Cutler doing something stupid or getting stripped by Peppers or Mathews in the closing minutes to seal the game for the Pack.
Tampa Bay +7 @ Pittsburgh
This one is all about pride, and Lovie has had 9 days to get his team ready before today. Doug Martin should be a factor in this game too. I always love taking teams coming off blowout losses when getting a TD or more. I could be wrong, and Tampa may very well be pure crap, but I think Lovie will have his team ready.
Lastly, let's rally against these Euro's!!! USA!!!! 
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