Ravens -9.5 over Texans Playoff Record 3-0
During the playoffs, I often find myself betting a game that I probably wouldn't bet if it was a regular season game. This is because I feel that you are more likely to get a performance that is true to form in the playoffs. This is one of those games. I seldom lay over a touchdown in an NFL game, but I don't think the Texans match up well with the Ravens. The weakest aspect of the Ravens game is their run defense. The Texans lack the resources to exploit this. They have a weak running game. Their pass defense is also subpar. The Ravens have looked very impressive, especially in big games, against top notch opponents. The Ravens recent history in playoff games is not good. (1-4 since 2018, 1-3 with Jackson at QB) Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will look to make a bold statement here. Jackson is a more mature, and experienced QB now. He knows he can't do it all by himself, nor does he need to. They will cover 9.5 with room to spare.
I've got a lot of respect for the Texans. CJ Stroud had one of the best rookie seasons that a QB has ever had, but this is where it ends. The Texans have a weak rushing game. They also have a weak pass defense. The Ravens allow 5.1 YPPA which is #1 in the NFL. The fact that the Texans scored 40 points on the Browns doesn't mean they can do that again. The Browns defense that's supposed to be so great is the 32nd ranked Scoring Defense in road games. The Ravens are not the Browns. Reality check for the Texans. The Ravens have crushed teams that are better than this. Ravens by 20 points.
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