the All Chalk team, week 1 2016

Question

This is probably the easiest week to dissect the chalk...

regardless of what Covers says, the all chalk team this week is

1. Carolina -3

How can the Broncos start a rookie QB and expect to win against a team like the Panthers? They scored literally 10 points on Offense that weren't directly attributed to turnovers in the SuperBowl, do you honestly expect the same outcome?

2. Green Bay -4.5

How can the best QB in the league lose to the Jaguars? They have no home field advantage, they pass the ball too much, and are still awful on Defense until proven otherwise.

3. Houston -6

How can the Bears, with a putrid O Line, block Clowney, Watt, and move the ball consistently against this team? Do YOU trust that Cutler won't throw a back breaking interception? Osweiller looks like a huge upgrade, the receivers are looking good, and we haven't even seen too much of DeAndre Hopkins.

4. Arizona -6

How can we expect Jimmy Garappolo to keep this game within 6? He hasn't looked bad, but he hasn't looked good. Carson Palmer's interceptions have all been tipped, are we expecting that to become a theme? The Cardinals were a NFC Championship Game team last year, and they are playing the Patriots without their best player.

5. Pittsburgh -3

How can we expect a QB that has never beaten a team with a winning record to beat the mighty Steelers? Roethlisberger is one of the only QBs who could pass the ball 100% of the time and win. This game won't even be close!

Alright guys, these are the obvious public chalk plays with a little synopsis for what the public is likely thinking. These are not my plays, but these are DEFINITELY the 5 chalkiest match ups.

Which ones are you AGAINST? Why?

porcelainfist · Answer

This is probably the easiest week to dissect the chalk...

regardless of what Covers says, the all chalk team this week is

1. Carolina -3

How can the Broncos start a rookie QB and expect to win against a team like the Panthers? They scored literally 10 points on Offense that weren't directly attributed to turnovers in the SuperBowl, do you honestly expect the same outcome?

2. Green Bay -4.5

How can the best QB in the league lose to the Jaguars? They have no home field advantage, they pass the ball too much, and are still awful on Defense until proven otherwise.

3. Houston -6

How can the Bears, with a putrid O Line, block Clowney, Watt, and move the ball consistently against this team? Do YOU trust that Cutler won't throw a back breaking interception? Osweiller looks like a huge upgrade, the receivers are looking good, and we haven't even seen too much of DeAndre Hopkins.

4. Arizona -6

How can we expect Jimmy Garappolo to keep this game within 6? He hasn't looked bad, but he hasn't looked good. Carson Palmer's interceptions have all been tipped, are we expecting that to become a theme? The Cardinals were a NFC Championship Game team last year, and they are playing the Patriots without their best player.

5. Pittsburgh -3

How can we expect a QB that has never beaten a team with a winning record to beat the mighty Steelers? Roethlisberger is one of the only QBs who could pass the ball 100% of the time and win. This game won't even be close!

Alright guys, these are the obvious public chalk plays with a little synopsis for what the public is likely thinking. These are not my plays, but these are DEFINITELY the 5 chalkiest match ups.

Which ones are you AGAINST? Why?

TheKid420 · Answer

Honestly bro.. i have no issues with this. I don&#x27;t have a good side on Panthers / Broncos. Kind of leaning Broncos &#x2B;3 just because of the defense. I would however see good value if that line went to &#x2B;4 Broncos. Otherwise, I would take the Under.I still have a slight Lean to the OV 50 with Pittsburgh and Redskins. As soon as the cards come out in my area, I would def play a 3 teamer parlay: Packers, Texans and Under 44 / and Vikings / Titans Under 41 and call it a day

bumcapper312 · Answer

I think you nailed the chalkiest plays (though I would place Pitt at #3).

1. I'm with the Panthers here. If Trevor Siemian comes in and stays within a field goal of Cam Newton and the hungry Panthers then I'll glady surrender my money.

2. Backing the Packers is a little scary here. Probably the most public team this year and nearly always, the line was already inflated at 3 now at 4.5 its severely over-inflated. The public always sides with road favorites but laying 4.5 here might be too much. Jaguars should be able to score on this Packers defense at home, I just like the Packers to score a few more. I will most likely lay off of this game. (If the Packers have the season I expect them to have this might be the only chance to get them under a touchdown)

3. I'm against the Texans and you saw why in my thread: J.J. not to full health, new QB, Mr. drops mcgee Will Fuller (I actually like his talent), improved Bears defense, etc. https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=102309833

4. The question is, is Jimmy serviceable enough to keep this game within a touchdown? He has the coach and he has the talent around him to do so, I just don't see him doing it against this Cardinals defense. I'm sure Belichick will have a few tricks up his sleeve and while I see this game being competitive, it has far too much potential for a blowout to not be considered..

5. I like the Redskins to keep it close and possibly even pull the upset. I see a lot of yards being gained in this one. Some big special teams plays will likely be the difference. And who can be efficient in the redzone.

undermysac · Answer

I&#x27;m  not  sold on Pitt being so awesome at all. Think they are over rated and the skins are under rated.Year 3 of Jay Gruden and I think things are coming together well.I&#x27;m waiting for &#x2B;3.5I see a lot of Bronco love this Thursday. I get the feeling the Panthers kick their teeth in good.Week 1 is a tough this year imo.

bumcapper312 · Answer

completely agree

veto22 · Answer

Pitt is not all chalk, not with that defense

porcelainfist · Answer

Dr.! These aren&#x27;t my picks. I would absolutely never take 5 chalk plays. 2 max. I just wanted to know opinions on these plays.

porcelainfist · Answer

I gave you a friend request so I can PM you

JFS · Answer

The Panthers / Broncos game has the same look and feel as the Superbowl in that it was hard to imagine how the Panther's offence could be stopped or slowed down enough to give Peyton a chance to win.

Could argue that the absence of Peyton puts Denver in a better position offensively, and the defence remains stellar.

And a little Panther's regression this year wouldn't be a surprise. Everything was in sync for them last year........ Hard to repeat this scenario again this year.

At first glance it certainly seems like the Panthers are the bet, which is the same outlook I had for the Superbowl (and bet the Panthers). But as the old saying goes - "The definition of insanity is doing the exact same thing twice and expecting a different result".

I have to side with the Broncos with a distinct home field advantage and a defence that will be eager to demonstrate that smothering the panthers in the superbowl was no fluke.

FADE_me88 · Answer

porcelain you suck

ChickMagnut · Answer

Texans are giving almost a touchdown, Are you kidding me--I bought it to 7.

porcelainfist · Answer

Probably accurate! These aren&#x27;t my plays, these are my opinions on which sides will be most heavily bet by the public

MartyMcFly23 · Answer

Just a side note/stat to go against your Carolina pick that I saw on a different forum:Losing SB team in week 1 ATS:3-16

the All Chalk team, week 1 2016

Hot Forum Topics