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The Best Prop Bet--A True MoneyMaker

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Captain
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Posted: #1
Here is a Prop bet that I think can't miss.
Now, nothing in life is guaranteed but this one feels like it is a slam dunk.

First off the setting is perfect for it, an indoor stadium with an ideal surface and no weather issues to effect the outcome.

The New England Patriots defense is built on a bend but don't break philosophy. 
The Eagles have a quality defense which should also play into this prop.

I expect both teams to have some success moving the ball, which will also benefit this prop.

Lastly, turnovers will play into this as well.

I see a lot of factors that favor this prop and I intend to hammer it.

With two quality kickers, in Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott, the conditions favor these two to have good games.

Total Field Goals Over 3 1/2  

**Max Bet**



Banging since 1983
 
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Posted: #2
That sounds pretty good.
 
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Posted: #3
Why not take a look at the total punts prop? Sounds like it lines up with your reasoning a bit.
 
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Posted: #4
I can think of one scenario that would make it tough...a quick big lead either way, taking FGs out of the game for one of the sides. I mean, bookies aren't stupid, and here they don't seem to have shaved odds on this kind of prop, I wonder why?
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by WHATTAPLAY:

Why not take a look at the total punts prop? Sounds like it lines up with your reasoning a bit.

I think both teams should be able to create enough offense to get themselves in position for field goal attempts, at the least, more than 3 times.

I could see both teams being aggressive and going for it on fourth and short near midfield, thus killing an over on the punts prop.
I'm not a fan of betting on the punts prop anyway, so it would have to be under or nothing for me.

Turnovers in favorable field position could bode well for field goals as well. (Strip sacks, fumbles)

Banging since 1983
 
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Posted: #6
More juice on the under at my book 
 
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Posted: #7

Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

Here is a Prop bet that I think can't miss.Now, nothing in life is guaranteed but this one feels like it is a slam dunk.First off the setting is perfect for it, an indoor stadium with an ideal surface and no weather issues to effect the outcome.The New England Patriots defense is built on a bend but don't break philosophy. The Eagles have a quality defense which should also play into this prop.I expect both teams to have some success moving the ball, which will also benefit this prop.Lastly, turnovers will play into this as well.I see a lot of factors that favor this prop and I intend to hammer it.With two quality kickers, in Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott, the conditions favor these two to have good games.Total Field Goals Over 3 1/2  **Max Bet**

I think the biggest cant miss prop I've ever seen, is Team with most penalty yards: EAGLES -140

I can't believe it isn't -400 against the Pats lol

 
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Posted: #8

East hey partner..congrats on another good year...I like the prop play...

Brady over 285

Penalties accepted under 11.5 ( Ref crew favors this call)

 

GL partner

 

 

 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

Here is a Prop bet that I think can't miss.Now, nothing in life is guaranteed but this one feels like it is a slam dunk.First off the setting is perfect for it, an indoor stadium with an ideal surface and no weather issues to effect the outcome.The New England Patriots defense is built on a bend but don't break philosophy. The Eagles have a quality defense which should also play into this prop.I expect both teams to have some success moving the ball, which will also benefit this prop.Lastly, turnovers will play into this as well.I see a lot of factors that favor this prop and I intend to hammer it.With two quality kickers, in Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott, the conditions favor these two to have good games.Total Field Goals Over 3 1/2  **Max Bet**
TT FG over 3 1/2 -195 ????

 
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Posted: #10
Bol tomorrow Bro
 
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Posted: #11
Solid prop bet Eastside
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

Here is a Prop bet that I think can't miss.Now, nothing in life is guaranteed but this one feels like it is a slam dunk.First off the setting is perfect for it, an indoor stadium with an ideal surface and no weather issues to effect the outcome.The New England Patriots defense is built on a bend but don't break philosophy. The Eagles have a quality defense which should also play into this prop.I expect both teams to have some success moving the ball, which will also benefit this prop.Lastly, turnovers will play into this as well.I see a lot of factors that favor this prop and I intend to hammer it.With two quality kickers, in Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott, the conditions favor these two to have good games.Total Field Goals Over 3 1/2  **Max Bet**

You have two coaches that are not afraid of going for it on 4th and 1 or even 2 on the 30 yard line instead of kicking a FG. 

 
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Posted: #13
I'll second this bet. I already made it and got it for even money. Based on regular season numbers this is about a 59% winner which is a nice overlay.
 
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Posted: #14
In all NE games this year there have been 3.4 field goals made on average. In all Philly games there have been 3 made on average.

 
 
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Posted: #15
Always like your write-ups, East. I'll look into this a bit more, but seems like a solid prop bet. 

Anything on the actual game?
 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

Here is a Prop bet that I think can't miss.
Now, nothing in life is guaranteed but this one feels like it is a slam dunk.

First off the setting is perfect for it, an indoor stadium with an ideal surface and no weather issues to effect the outcome.

The New England Patriots defense is built on a bend but don't break philosophy. 
The Eagles have a quality defense which should also play into this prop.

I expect both teams to have some success moving the ball, which will also benefit this prop.

Lastly, turnovers will play into this as well.

I see a lot of factors that favor this prop and I intend to hammer it.

With two quality kickers, in Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott, the conditions favor these two to have good games.

Total Field Goals Over 3 1/2  

**Max Bet**






This was a nice hit for me.
Banging since 1983
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