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The Goon is here!!!! What is up guys? I am going to start doing some write ups for the games I research. I have been documenting my picks on the King of Covers contest. Instead of just blindly picking every game to win the contest, I have been selective and putting in the time. Follow me at @RoonTheGoon45. I just started my twitter so any help would be much appreciated. Please no negative energy. If you have a different opinion that is cool but no name calling. Thanks guys!
NFL 20-9-2
CFB 33-20-0
NBA and NCAAM is starting up so I will have some picks up for basketball. LET"S GET TO BUSINESS!!
MNF Vikings (+3.5) vs Bears Total 40.5
Why I like the 40.5 under
Bears D is underrated
The Bears have been absolutely terrible on the road. Good thing they are playing at home!!!! At home the Bears have played the Falcons tough and beat the Steelers (even though the Steelers just lost to the Jags). What's most impressive is that the Bears run defense is only giving up 85.5 rushing yards per game. This includes games against Bell (61 yds) and Freeman (37 yds) respectively. The Bears defense is underrated. They are only giving up 5.2 yards per play compared to Vikings 5.1 yards per play. With John Fox at the helm and a rookie QB making his first start, I expect Trubisky to mange the game, not make mistakes, and rely on a good defense to keep it close. Just look at Tebow in Denver. Who was the coach? Let's just say load up on Jordan Howard if your playing fantasy.
Vikings running game is decimated
The Vikings offense is trying to shake off a terrible loss to the Lions last week (7-14 L). It does not help that their future RB Dalvin Cook has been lost for the rest of the season due to a knee injury. Also formidable RB Latavius Murray is coming off ankle surgery this offseason and is expected to play but he is not 100%. The Vikings will have to rely on Bradford or Keenum who ever gets the start, to play well and get the offense back on track. The Vikings offense has over achieved this year with a 6 yards per play average this season. THAT IS TOP TEN IN THE LEAGUE!! I thought I would never say that! On the road though, they are a measly 4 yards per play, worst in the NFL only behind Miami. Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde syndrome for sure. I expect the Bears defense to play well against a struggling Vikings offense.
The trend is your friend
The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and 8-3 head to head in the last 11. Of those 11 meetings 6 of them have been under 40 points. Overall with all these factors in play, yes 40.5 points is low but the under looks like the best value.
If you like the write up please follow me at @RoonTheGoon45
or you can e-mail at roonthegoon123@gmail.com. Thanks guys!!
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