Hello. I hope everyone gets through this coming weekend without freaking out. There’s no real football action! Back in the day, my worst time of the year was the MLB All Star break. I couldn’t make a real bet for three days. AAAAHHHHHGGGG!
Early post on what is, honestly, the game not to bet. I am also a knowledgeable horse player. Ask me who I like in the Kentucky Derby. I’ll have an opinion, but it is a horrible gambling proposition. A field of 20 three year olds going a 1 1/4 miles with a crowd of 140,000 plus…bad betting spot. This is probably a worse spot, considering the odds. But….here I go
I am a wagering mathematician. The situations will not work out all the time. Not even close. But you don’t have to be Oz the Mentalist to “put 2 & 2 together”.
As a group that wagers on sports, we are looking for spots. When you have a Super Bowl, that spot disappears. Your opinion is all ego. I personally will refer to the old adage that “the house never loses”. The books have taken 80% action on the Kansas Swifty Chiefs in the game. But, because there was soooo much preseason action on the Niners to get the Lombardi trophy, Vegas actually wants KC. Think about it.
Now, the line is SF -2.5. The spread has gone up, enticing those “who think they know” to bet the 49ers. In the Super Bowl, the casual gambler (via their favorite wagering site) will bet the favorite. I know early numbers on Covers say over 60% Chiefs. Because this community is educated.
As I said, not a great wagering spot. But I wish everyone the best of luck. Please don’t let the fact that the the team that wears white jerseys are 16-3 in the last 19 Super Bowls. I’m going with Wilbert Harrison and his song…look it up. Sorry Tony Bennett, Scott McKenzie, and everyone from Haight-Ashbury.
Hello. I hope everyone gets through this coming weekend without freaking out. There’s no real football action! Back in the day, my worst time of the year was the MLB All Star break. I couldn’t make a real bet for three days. AAAAHHHHHGGGG!
Early post on what is, honestly, the game not to bet. I am also a knowledgeable horse player. Ask me who I like in the Kentucky Derby. I’ll have an opinion, but it is a horrible gambling proposition. A field of 20 three year olds going a 1 1/4 miles with a crowd of 140,000 plus…bad betting spot. This is probably a worse spot, considering the odds. But….here I go
I am a wagering mathematician. The situations will not work out all the time. Not even close. But you don’t have to be Oz the Mentalist to “put 2 & 2 together”.
As a group that wagers on sports, we are looking for spots. When you have a Super Bowl, that spot disappears. Your opinion is all ego. I personally will refer to the old adage that “the house never loses”. The books have taken 80% action on the Kansas Swifty Chiefs in the game. But, because there was soooo much preseason action on the Niners to get the Lombardi trophy, Vegas actually wants KC. Think about it.
Now, the line is SF -2.5. The spread has gone up, enticing those “who think they know” to bet the 49ers. In the Super Bowl, the casual gambler (via their favorite wagering site) will bet the favorite. I know early numbers on Covers say over 60% Chiefs. Because this community is educated.
As I said, not a great wagering spot. But I wish everyone the best of luck. Please don’t let the fact that the the team that wears white jerseys are 16-3 in the last 19 Super Bowls. I’m going with Wilbert Harrison and his song…look it up. Sorry Tony Bennett, Scott McKenzie, and everyone from Haight-Ashbury.
Wilbert looks like he could be Morris Day's father. And we all know Morris Day was born in Springfield, Il. Not a person from Springfield knows anything about sports gambling. This kills your write up completely.
"Got 'em right where I want 'em, surrounded from the inside"
Wilbert looks like he could be Morris Day's father. And we all know Morris Day was born in Springfield, Il. Not a person from Springfield knows anything about sports gambling. This kills your write up completely.
I do not agree with a lot of what you said, starting with the title of the thread. As someone who has been doing this for decades, the SB can be a great bet or two. And you can't say Vegas wants KC to win, especially because of the pre-season bets on SF. There was a lot bet on KC, too. And people bet a h*lluva' lot more on the SB than on pre-season futures.
Do the work, dig through all the SB teams since SBI. You will find the winner if you know what you're doing.
I do not agree with a lot of what you said, starting with the title of the thread. As someone who has been doing this for decades, the SB can be a great bet or two. And you can't say Vegas wants KC to win, especially because of the pre-season bets on SF. There was a lot bet on KC, too. And people bet a h*lluva' lot more on the SB than on pre-season futures.
Do the work, dig through all the SB teams since SBI. You will find the winner if you know what you're doing.
Take the chiefs. Watch the lines on live odds betting.
If the 49ers line moves up to 2.0+ live bet the 49ers.
Throw a prop in with the chiefs bet to add some good odds. I went chiefs with over 2.5 touchdowns first half.
Second bet on chiefs moneyline
If the chiefs hold the game.close the live odds will change for the 49ers and than I can hammer down on the 49ers. Since I have money on chiefs and 49ers. Just have to find that sweet spot on the Niners live lines to entice a bet that gives me profit ?????
Take the chiefs. Watch the lines on live odds betting.
If the 49ers line moves up to 2.0+ live bet the 49ers.
Throw a prop in with the chiefs bet to add some good odds. I went chiefs with over 2.5 touchdowns first half.
Second bet on chiefs moneyline
If the chiefs hold the game.close the live odds will change for the 49ers and than I can hammer down on the 49ers. Since I have money on chiefs and 49ers. Just have to find that sweet spot on the Niners live lines to entice a bet that gives me profit ?????
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