They Told Me Lions Are A Lock For Super Bowl Yet Only -3 Against Packers

on a neutral field this would be a pK. make it make sense. either lions arn't really who people pretend they are or...

@rosswin97

Here you go:

https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/news/lions-have-18-players-on-injured-reserve

Best predictor of current performance = recent performance.

 The Packers are playing good ball with the ability to score and run clock.

Does ot mean they'll win or cover, not necessarily but the line seems right to me fo4 this game at this week of the season.

@unplucked_gem

Yep, recency bias really works well. 

@Buffalobob89074

 thanks, my depth charts never say who on IR if they were a starter or what and I don't follow anywhere near close enough to know

Lions front 7 is battered.  They’re down multiple lineman and linebackers.  The schedule has had some soft landing for them and having a world class offense doesn’t hurt either.  At some point you figure they’re going to have a let down game.  Packers are relatively healthy, a few key players out.  But on paper these are 2 of the probably top 7 overall rosters in the nfl.  So I think the spread here is pretty fair.  

Lions will not lose the rest of the season and will win a Super Bowl, Lions cover... as always.

i thought the Bears was the letdown game.  at least a letdown 2nd half.  Bears were close to tying/winning when Det had dominated the first half.  should be a wakeup call

The line is really 3.5 almost everywhere & that half point is kind of a big deal. If the Lions wouldn't have had 5-6 players on defense get hurt last week, this line would have been 4.5, so it's not some earth-shattering move that tells you anything about the Lions chances to get to the Super Bowl in the future. 

SAF...

Most of the players on that list have been injured or aren't starters.. 

since 1976 any tea m that lost meaningull game to tampa bay never won a sb incluing 4 who got there i cha lk rams -14 other 3 dogs

addung the 5 this year eagles wash lions saints  and giants the new total will be 277 posbly 2 more

Then please explain why about 6 of them were helped off the field in the 2nd half in last weeks game? 

4 weeks ago Lions were -2 in green bay

For me, better than using stats and data accumulated during say week 1 or 2 or 6.

My model is 100 % objective, so bias doesn't quite fit.